TRI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 3.9% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.0% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.3% | 1.5% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.5% | 5.3% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.96 | 0.99 | +3.3% | +0.8% | -9.7% | +4.1% | +13.3% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.21 | 1.23 | +1.3% | +3.4% | -0.3% | -8.6% | -10.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.8% | +3.7% | -5.6% | -2.7% | +26.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.9% | +1.1% | -5.9% | -6.4% | -8.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +4.5% | +1.8% | -9.9% | -5.7% | -3.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.06 | 1.14 | +7.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +6.3% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.98 | 1.03 | +4.4% | -0.2% | +4.5% | +1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.6% | +1.2% | +3.7% | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +3.1% | -3.1% | -1.9% | +0.9% | +7.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.97 | 1.13 | +16.6% | +2.1% | +7.6% | +3.0% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +7.8% | +0.0% | +4.6% | +2.0% | +1.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.72 | 0.83 | +14.9% | +2.6% | +2.0% | +5.8% | +15.3% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.8% | +0.0% | +1.3% | -4.3% | -5.9% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +3.1% | -3.2% | -1.0% | -5.7% | -5.3% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.69 | 0.77 | +11.1% | -0.3% | -2.0% | +7.7% | +5.0% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.53 | 0.60 | +14.0% | +1.6% | -3.2% | +4.0% | +14.0% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +12.9% | -0.2% | +3.9% | -0.1% | -5.5% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.5% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -5.4% | +1.7% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -5.7% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +19.9% | +1.8% | -0.6% | +2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.45 | 0.51 | +11.4% | +2.9% | +6.0% | +1.7% | +5.9% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.44 | 0.61 | +37.4% | +1.1% | +3.4% | -0.6% | +1.4% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +17.5% | +3.3% | +10.6% | +0.0% | -1.5% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.1% | +2.1% | +4.2% | +1.2% | -2.3% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +15.6% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +5.9% | +8.2% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -2.5% | +2.0% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-25 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +11.2% | +1.4% | +0.6% | -5.8% | -25.1% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +38.0% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.18 | 0.31 | +68.1% | +1.7% | +1.6% | -1.1% | +0.7% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.26 | 0.38 | +45.7% | +1.7% | +2.9% | +3.2% | +6.6% |
| 2019-02-26 beat | 0.07 | 0.21 | +209.4% | +1.3% | +3.3% | -0.3% | +6.5% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 0.04 | 0.13 | +256.7% | +0.4% | +4.8% | -0.4% | +5.0% |
| 2018-08-08 beat | 0.13 | 0.20 | +54.0% | -0.5% | +3.5% | -0.1% | +5.6% |
| 2018-05-11 miss | 0.39 | 0.32 | -17.2% | -3.0% | -4.0% | +3.0% | +8.3% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +3.8% | -0.3% | -2.5% | +1.6% | +2.4% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 0.68 | 0.79 | +16.8% | -2.9% | -5.6% | +0.1% | +0.7% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 0.60 | 0.70 | +16.5% | +2.0% | +4.5% | -2.0% | -5.4% |
| 2017-04-28 beat | 0.62 | 0.73 | +18.4% | +2.3% | +3.7% | -1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.5% | -1.5% | -3.2% | +3.8% | +0.2% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.55 | 0.63 | +13.4% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +1.3% | +5.2% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.4% | -0.9% | -2.4% | -2.1% | -2.0% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.9% | +0.4% | +1.9% | -2.6% | +0.1% |
| 2016-02-11 beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.8% | -2.8% | -2.8% | +3.9% | +10.1% |
| 2015-10-23 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +6.4% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -1.0% | -4.7% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +4.6% | +0.5% | +4.1% | +5.0% | -0.8% |
| 2015-04-29 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -2.7% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2015-02-11 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -6.5% | -0.9% | -2.5% | +1.2% | +3.0% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +1.4% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +7.0% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +9.1% | +1.1% | +3.0% | -1.7% | -0.2% |
| 2014-04-30 beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +20.9% | +0.9% | +3.9% | -1.9% | -4.1% |
| 2014-02-12 miss | 0.60 | 0.57 | -5.2% | -4.0% | -6.2% | +0.0% | -2.6% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +9.4% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +1.6% |
| 2013-07-30 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +6.5% | -0.1% | -3.8% | +0.5% | -3.0% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +20.2% | -1.6% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +2.6% |
| 2013-02-13 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +9.5% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -0.6% | +7.7% |
| 2012-11-02 beat | 0.55 | 0.63 | +12.9% | +0.8% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +7.1% | +0.7% | -2.0% | +2.1% | +1.6% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.6% | +1.1% | +1.1% | -1.7% | -8.9% |
| 2012-02-09 miss | 0.66 | 0.63 | -4.6% | -0.7% | -1.2% | +0.1% | +6.0% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.0% | -4.0% | -2.2% | +3.6% | -7.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.