TROW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 4.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | +0.0% | 2.1% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.3% | 1.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.4% | 5.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 2.52 | 2.57 | +2.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | +2.0% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.35 | 2.52 | +7.4% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 2.46 | 2.44 | -1.0% | -4.7% | -5.5% | -3.3% | -6.8% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.54 | 2.81 | +10.5% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.24 | +4.9% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +2.5% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 2.13 | 2.23 | +4.7% | +3.2% | +4.0% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 2.21 | 2.12 | -4.1% | -2.5% | -4.2% | -3.4% | -9.1% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 2.35 | 2.57 | +9.5% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +5.0% | +10.1% |
| 2024-07-26 miss | 2.28 | 2.26 | -0.8% | -2.0% | -3.0% | -5.0% | -2.5% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 2.03 | 2.38 | +17.2% | +3.8% | +4.8% | -2.2% | +2.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.63 | 1.72 | +5.8% | +2.3% | -0.7% | -0.6% | +8.0% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 1.77 | 2.17 | +22.4% | +0.2% | -4.7% | +8.2% | +11.3% |
| 2023-07-28 beat | 1.73 | 2.02 | +16.9% | +8.0% | +8.3% | -8.9% | -12.9% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.64 | 1.69 | +3.0% | -0.4% | -4.7% | -0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.71 | 1.74 | +1.6% | -2.3% | -1.8% | +12.4% | -2.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.81 | 1.86 | +2.7% | -0.7% | +1.9% | -5.3% | +10.9% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 2.15 | 1.79 | -16.7% | -0.4% | +2.2% | +1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 2.76 | 2.62 | -5.2% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +0.4% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 3.13 | 3.17 | +1.3% | -0.1% | -4.3% | -1.3% | -3.5% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 3.31 | 3.27 | -1.2% | -0.5% | +5.7% | +2.0% | -3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.