TROW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 3.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 2.2% | 48% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.2% | 4.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 2.52 | 2.57 | +2.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | +2.0% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.35 | 2.52 | +7.4% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 2.46 | 2.44 | -1.0% | -4.7% | -5.5% | -3.3% | -6.8% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.54 | 2.81 | +10.5% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.24 | +4.9% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +2.5% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 2.13 | 2.23 | +4.7% | +3.2% | +4.0% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 2.21 | 2.12 | -4.1% | -2.5% | -4.2% | -3.4% | -9.1% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 2.35 | 2.57 | +9.5% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +5.0% | +10.1% |
| 2024-07-26 miss | 2.28 | 2.26 | -0.8% | -2.0% | -3.0% | -5.0% | -2.5% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 2.03 | 2.38 | +17.2% | +3.8% | +4.8% | -2.2% | +2.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.63 | 1.72 | +5.8% | +2.3% | -0.7% | -0.6% | +8.0% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 1.77 | 2.17 | +22.4% | +0.2% | -4.7% | +8.2% | +11.3% |
| 2023-07-28 beat | 1.73 | 2.02 | +16.9% | +8.0% | +8.3% | -8.9% | -12.9% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.64 | 1.69 | +3.0% | -0.4% | -4.7% | -0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.71 | 1.74 | +1.6% | -2.3% | -1.8% | +12.4% | -2.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.81 | 1.86 | +2.7% | -0.7% | +1.9% | -5.3% | +10.9% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 2.15 | 1.79 | -16.7% | -0.4% | +2.2% | +1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 2.76 | 2.62 | -5.2% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +0.4% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 3.13 | 3.17 | +1.3% | -0.1% | -4.3% | -1.3% | -3.5% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 3.31 | 3.27 | -1.2% | -0.5% | +5.7% | +2.0% | -3.8% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 3.21 | 3.31 | +3.2% | -0.4% | +0.5% | +4.1% | +9.2% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 2.94 | 3.01 | +2.5% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +5.2% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 2.63 | 2.89 | +9.9% | +2.9% | +3.8% | -1.2% | +3.6% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 2.43 | 2.55 | +5.1% | -0.5% | -4.2% | +4.5% | +9.1% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 2.03 | 2.29 | +12.6% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +2.3% | +1.7% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 1.80 | 1.87 | +3.6% | +2.4% | +2.7% | -7.5% | +3.4% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 1.95 | 2.03 | +4.1% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +1.3% | -13.3% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.97 | 2.13 | +7.8% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +2.2% | +6.8% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.88 | 2.03 | +8.2% | -0.9% | +2.5% | +0.1% | -3.6% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 1.63 | 1.87 | +15.0% | +3.9% | +2.1% | -3.4% | -6.4% |
| 2019-01-30 miss | 1.66 | 1.54 | -7.3% | -3.0% | -3.8% | +5.6% | +12.8% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 1.91 | 1.99 | +3.9% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +2.6% | +0.5% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 1.78 | 1.87 | +5.1% | -1.2% | +2.9% | -6.0% | -7.8% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 1.68 | 1.74 | +3.4% | +0.9% | +3.4% | -0.4% | +9.4% |
| 2018-01-30 beat | 1.46 | 1.52 | +4.3% | -2.2% | -4.3% | -4.9% | -2.2% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 1.39 | 1.45 | +4.0% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2017-07-25 miss | 1.29 | 1.28 | -1.1% | +1.1% | +3.4% | -0.8% | -1.2% |
| 2017-04-25 miss | 1.18 | 1.18 | -0.2% | -2.2% | -4.2% | +2.6% | -1.3% |
| 2017-01-26 beat | 1.42 | 1.50 | +5.4% | -3.1% | -5.3% | -5.4% | +2.6% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 1.18 | 1.28 | +8.3% | +0.3% | -3.8% | -0.2% | +14.6% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +4.9% | -2.3% | -4.3% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 1.03 | 1.15 | +11.8% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -3.3% | -0.2% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 1.11 | 1.17 | +5.6% | +3.0% | +3.3% | +2.0% | +1.0% |
| 2015-10-22 miss | 1.14 | 1.06 | -7.0% | +1.8% | +6.6% | +1.5% | +2.9% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 1.20 | 1.24 | +3.3% | -0.9% | -1.9% | +0.3% | -6.7% |
| 2015-04-22 miss | 1.14 | 1.13 | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 1.14 | 1.18 | +3.7% | -1.2% | -3.3% | +2.3% | +4.3% |
| 2014-10-23 miss | 1.15 | 1.12 | -2.4% | +1.7% | +0.4% | +4.6% | +7.2% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 1.12 | 1.13 | +1.3% | -2.4% | -2.3% | -3.3% | -0.8% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 1.04 | 1.12 | +8.1% | +1.8% | +0.8% | -0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2014-01-28 beat | 1.03 | 1.06 | +2.8% | +4.8% | +5.5% | -3.7% | -0.3% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.96 | 1.00 | +3.7% | -1.2% | -3.1% | +2.6% | +7.5% |
| 2013-07-24 miss | 0.95 | 0.92 | -3.5% | -6.3% | -5.0% | -0.5% | -4.0% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.7% | -1.7% | -4.6% | -1.4% | +5.6% |
| 2013-01-29 miss | 0.88 | 0.88 | -0.5% | -3.0% | -0.8% | +0.9% | -0.6% |
| 2012-10-24 beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +4.1% | -0.4% | -0.8% | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2012-07-25 miss | 0.81 | 0.79 | -2.3% | -2.7% | -2.8% | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| 2012-04-24 miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -1.8% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +1.6% | -7.0% |
| 2012-01-27 beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.2% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2011-10-25 miss | 0.74 | 0.71 | -4.1% | -9.5% | -8.8% | -2.8% | -3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.