TROW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | +1.0% | 4.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.5% | 2.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.3% | 1.6% | 30% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | +1.5% | 5.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 2.52 | 2.57 | +2.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | +2.0% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.35 | 2.52 | +7.4% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 2.46 | 2.44 | -1.0% | -4.7% | -5.5% | -3.3% | -6.8% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.54 | 2.81 | +10.5% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.24 | +4.9% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +2.5% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 2.13 | 2.23 | +4.7% | +3.2% | +4.0% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 2.21 | 2.12 | -4.1% | -2.5% | -4.2% | -3.4% | -9.1% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 2.35 | 2.57 | +9.5% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +5.0% | +10.1% |
| 2024-07-26 miss | 2.28 | 2.26 | -0.8% | -2.0% | -3.0% | -5.0% | -2.5% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 2.03 | 2.38 | +17.2% | +3.8% | +4.8% | -2.2% | +2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.