TRU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.6% | +5.4% | 3.8% | 80% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +0.4% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.4% | 2.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +3.3% | +3.2% | 5.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.15 | 1.23 | +7.0% | -0.4% | +8.5% | -2.5% | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.11 | 1.18 | +6.0% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -2.6% | +2.3% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +4.3% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +7.6% | -0.1% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.3% | +4.9% | +3.5% | -4.3% | +0.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.99 | 1.08 | +9.0% | +4.5% | +4.1% | -3.3% | -7.5% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.98 | 1.05 | +7.3% | -0.2% | +6.7% | +1.3% | +0.8% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +1.9% | +1.7% | +7.3% | -8.5% | -14.5% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +2.9% | +3.9% | +2.7% | -5.2% | -9.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +1.9% | +2.0% | +8.0% | +4.6% | +16.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +13.4% | +11.2% | +8.2% | +0.5% | +2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.