TRU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.6% | 6.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 2.9% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -0.9% | 8.4% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.15 | 1.23 | +7.0% | -0.4% | +8.5% | -2.5% | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.11 | 1.18 | +6.0% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -2.6% | +2.3% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +4.3% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +7.6% | -0.1% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.3% | +4.9% | +3.5% | -4.3% | +0.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.99 | 1.08 | +9.0% | +4.5% | +4.1% | -3.3% | -7.5% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.98 | 1.05 | +7.3% | -0.2% | +6.7% | +1.3% | +0.8% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +1.9% | +1.7% | +7.3% | -8.5% | -14.5% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +2.9% | +3.9% | +2.7% | -5.2% | -9.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +1.9% | +2.0% | +8.0% | +4.6% | +16.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +13.4% | +11.2% | +8.2% | +0.5% | +2.7% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 0.71 | 0.80 | +12.7% | +4.1% | +4.1% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2023-10-24 miss | 0.94 | 0.91 | -3.6% | -14.4% | -23.3% | -11.8% | +19.0% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +4.3% | +0.8% | +2.9% | -2.2% | -3.9% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.0% | +4.0% | -1.2% | +5.5% | +13.6% |
| 2023-02-14 miss | 0.82 | 0.78 | -5.4% | +0.7% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -10.4% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +1.7% | -3.4% | +1.2% | -1.4% | +7.1% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 0.97 | 0.98 | +0.7% | -12.8% | -13.9% | +1.5% | +5.9% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 0.92 | 0.93 | +1.0% | +1.3% | -3.1% | -5.0% | -8.4% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 0.92 | 0.81 | -12.0% | -9.1% | -6.4% | +0.3% | +10.8% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +8.1% | +1.1% | -3.9% | -0.6% | +0.5% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 0.91 | 0.96 | +5.1% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +0.7% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +14.1% | +5.4% | +4.4% | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2021-02-16 beat | 0.79 | 0.80 | +1.1% | -6.7% | -7.8% | -0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +6.6% | -2.5% | -4.5% | +2.1% | +16.2% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.50 | 0.66 | +31.4% | -0.3% | +0.0% | -2.2% | -4.0% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +8.3% | +5.4% | +4.1% | +1.1% | +9.5% |
| 2020-02-18 beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +4.9% | +2.1% | +0.0% | -3.5% | -39.9% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +7.3% | +1.5% | -2.6% | +1.6% | +7.1% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +5.5% | +3.2% | +9.5% | +1.2% | +2.6% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +2.0% | -2.3% | -2.8% | +1.3% | -3.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.