TRUP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.8% | -0.5% | 12.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +4.2% | +1.8% | 8.9% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.8% | +0.5% | 5.9% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.2% | 18.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.94 | 0.86 | -8.6% | +13.1% | +15.5% | +10.1% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.88 | 0.78 | -11.8% | +6.3% | +1.4% | +1.2% | -9.0% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -19.6% | -6.1% | -13.0% | -2.9% | -5.3% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.89 | 0.77 | -13.8% | +6.7% | -8.3% | -2.2% | -0.4% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +8.4% | +16.9% | +0.1% | -0.4% | -12.4% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +11.7% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +20.9% | +28.2% |
| 2025-02-19 miss | 0.84 | 0.34 | -59.2% | -14.9% | -25.5% | -5.1% | +4.5% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.68 | 0.22 | -67.9% | -5.0% | -0.6% | -10.7% | -2.1% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.09 | 0.06 | -35.1% | +3.9% | +9.3% | +11.0% | +13.8% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -82.7% | +0.9% | -16.5% | +30.0% | +44.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.