TRUP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.6% | -2.4% | 13.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +2.4% | +1.9% | 8.0% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.5% | 5.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -1.7% | 21.2% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.94 | 0.86 | -8.6% | +13.1% | +15.5% | +10.1% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.88 | 0.78 | -11.8% | +6.3% | +1.4% | +1.2% | -9.0% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -19.6% | -6.1% | -13.0% | -2.9% | -5.3% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.89 | 0.77 | -13.8% | +6.7% | -8.3% | -2.2% | -0.4% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +8.4% | +16.9% | +0.1% | -0.4% | -12.4% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +11.7% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +20.9% | +28.2% |
| 2025-02-19 miss | 0.84 | 0.34 | -59.2% | -14.9% | -25.5% | -5.1% | +4.5% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.68 | 0.22 | -67.9% | -5.0% | -0.6% | -10.7% | -2.1% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.09 | 0.06 | -35.1% | +3.9% | +9.3% | +11.0% | +13.8% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -82.7% | +0.9% | -16.5% | +30.0% | +44.9% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +19.1% | -23.4% | -35.1% | +5.5% | +8.0% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.11 | 0.06 | +154.4% | +11.5% | +14.3% | -17.1% | +7.9% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.41 | -0.18 | -143.2% | +12.6% | +6.0% | -2.4% | -6.5% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.08 | -0.21 | -163.4% | -33.2% | -19.7% | -26.7% | -26.3% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | -0.10 | -0.01 | +86.2% | -4.5% | -4.9% | -5.6% | -3.1% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -44.7% | -7.1% | +3.3% | +42.7% | +13.0% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | -0.03 | -0.12 | -300.0% | -13.2% | -4.3% | +16.0% | +0.7% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -0.01 | -0.04 | -149.3% | -8.7% | -7.8% | +0.3% | +5.1% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -119.3% | -13.6% | -17.0% | +16.8% | +14.2% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -63.0% | -4.4% | +11.9% | +3.1% | -6.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.