TS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.2% | -3.6% | 5.8% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -1.0% | 1.6% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.8% | 2.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | -1.4% | 7.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.82 | 0.95 | +15.7% | -2.9% | -6.4% | -1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.87 | 1.07 | +22.6% | -5.3% | -5.6% | +6.6% | +6.5% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 0.79 | 0.87 | +10.5% | +7.6% | +7.9% | +1.4% | +4.1% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.75 | 0.85 | +13.3% | +3.0% | +4.9% | +1.8% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.88 | 0.99 | +13.0% | -5.2% | -6.0% | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.77 | 0.94 | +21.3% | +2.0% | -1.6% | +2.6% | +7.8% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.71 | 0.94 | +32.5% | -1.0% | -0.7% | -2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.69 | 0.81 | +17.6% | +0.2% | +2.4% | -1.2% | +3.7% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 0.97 | 0.59 | -39.5% | -8.3% | -9.6% | -3.5% | +3.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.03 | 1.27 | +23.6% | -5.3% | -7.4% | -2.3% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.