TS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.4% | 5.8% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 2.3% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 2.4% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.6% | 7.7% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.82 | 0.95 | +15.7% | -2.9% | -6.4% | -1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.87 | 1.07 | +22.6% | -5.3% | -5.6% | +6.6% | +6.5% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 0.79 | 0.87 | +10.5% | +7.6% | +7.9% | +1.4% | +4.1% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.75 | 0.85 | +13.3% | +3.0% | +4.9% | +1.8% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.88 | 0.99 | +13.0% | -5.2% | -6.0% | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.77 | 0.94 | +21.3% | +2.0% | -1.6% | +2.6% | +7.8% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.71 | 0.94 | +32.5% | -1.0% | -0.7% | -2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.69 | 0.81 | +17.6% | +0.2% | +2.4% | -1.2% | +3.7% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 0.97 | 0.59 | -39.5% | -8.3% | -9.6% | -3.5% | +3.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.03 | 1.27 | +23.6% | -5.3% | -7.4% | -2.3% | -0.9% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 1.01 | 1.92 | +89.7% | +11.1% | +7.8% | +0.3% | +12.5% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 1.24 | 1.16 | -6.2% | +10.0% | +8.7% | -2.3% | +0.2% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.61 | 1.90 | +17.8% | -3.8% | -3.3% | +5.5% | +1.3% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.63 | 1.91 | +17.1% | -2.8% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -7.5% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 1.45 | 1.47 | +1.3% | +7.0% | +6.4% | -8.3% | -22.4% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 1.17 | 1.07 | -8.7% | +2.5% | +3.9% | -0.3% | -1.4% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.85 | 1.08 | +25.9% | -2.2% | -4.5% | +6.5% | +9.2% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.61 | 0.85 | +38.9% | +0.5% | +0.8% | +7.2% | +14.1% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.46 | 0.64 | +38.8% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -3.5% | +13.1% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.38 | 0.57 | +51.0% | +4.2% | +6.1% | -1.1% | -14.4% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.17 | 0.46 | +171.8% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +3.1% | +0.2% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.07 | 0.19 | +174.1% | -7.4% | -7.2% | +11.3% | +9.0% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.01 | 0.22 | +1370.2% | +14.4% | +17.0% | +1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | -0.16 | -0.03 | +80.5% | +15.4% | +16.9% | +9.4% | +35.8% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +47.2% | -2.8% | -4.2% | +0.5% | -6.2% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -4.5% | +0.9% | -1.4% | -3.3% | -4.0% |
| 2020-02-19 beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +7.5% | -1.9% | +1.9% | -13.9% | -49.6% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 0.31 | 0.18 | -42.3% | -1.4% | -1.6% | +7.9% | +3.1% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +12.7% | -6.1% | -1.8% | -5.4% | -11.7% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.6% | -0.3% | +1.9% | -3.1% | -9.4% |
| 2019-02-20 beat | 0.42 | 0.56 | +34.4% | -2.0% | +1.0% | -4.0% | +5.5% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 0.34 | 0.42 | +24.9% | +4.5% | +5.5% | -2.9% | -18.4% |
| 2018-08-01 miss | 0.33 | 0.29 | -11.5% | -9.1% | -7.3% | +2.0% | -1.8% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.26 | 0.40 | +52.0% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +3.9% | -2.2% |
| 2018-02-21 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -14.6% | +4.9% | +5.2% | +3.6% | -3.0% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 0.10 | 0.18 | +87.7% | +7.1% | +11.7% | -1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +51.0% | -5.2% | -6.6% | -2.2% | -6.8% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 0.04 | 0.21 | +413.8% | -2.6% | -3.7% | -4.9% | -1.9% |
| 2017-02-22 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +117.4% | -0.5% | -3.6% | -1.1% | -3.2% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +193.2% | +2.7% | +2.8% | +8.3% | +20.3% |
| 2016-08-03 miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.1% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +3.5% | +1.1% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +40.3% | -2.1% | -1.9% | -5.0% | -1.0% |
| 2016-02-24 miss | 0.14 | 0.10 | -25.5% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +12.8% | +18.1% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +13.1% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -3.5% | -6.3% |
| 2015-08-05 miss | 0.30 | 0.23 | -24.2% | +4.0% | +8.3% | +2.6% | -0.3% |
| 2015-05-01 miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -5.5% | +3.3% | +3.2% | -4.0% | -6.1% |
| 2015-02-18 beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +12.1% | -3.7% | -4.7% | -2.2% | -3.6% |
| 2014-11-05 miss | 0.59 | 0.54 | -7.9% | -3.3% | -4.3% | -1.2% | -17.1% |
| 2014-07-30 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -1.3% | -3.3% | -4.1% | -2.2% | +3.1% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.72 | +7.2% | +2.1% | +1.6% | -0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2014-02-20 miss | 0.69 | 0.69 | -0.4% | -0.8% | -4.0% | -0.7% | +2.2% |
| 2013-11-06 miss | 0.67 | 0.51 | -23.4% | -3.1% | -4.5% | -1.4% | -3.2% |
| 2013-08-01 miss | 0.74 | 0.71 | -4.4% | -2.8% | -0.8% | +4.3% | -0.1% |
| 2013-05-01 miss | 0.74 | 0.72 | -2.3% | -5.4% | -4.0% | +2.5% | +0.9% |
| 2013-02-21 miss | 0.73 | 0.61 | -16.8% | +3.8% | +3.1% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.4% | -1.6% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +5.0% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.9% | -2.4% | -1.0% | +7.9% | +9.4% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.75 | +13.8% | +3.1% | +3.8% | -2.6% | -13.2% |
| 2012-02-23 beat | 0.63 | 0.68 | +8.6% | +0.2% | -2.5% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 2011-11-03 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -2.5% | +8.7% | +11.2% | -1.7% | +8.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.