TSCO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.7% | -2.6% | 5.0% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | -4.1% | -1.9% | 7.0% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 0.82 | 0.69 | -15.9% | +2.2% | +3.3% | -0.4% | +15.4% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 0.34 | 0.31 | -9.4% | -4.9% | -11.7% | -10.1% | -19.9% |
| 2026-01-29 miss | 0.46 | 0.43 | -7.2% | -4.1% | -7.6% | +6.9% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +1.7% | -3.0% | +2.8% | -4.0% | -6.1% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +1.0% | +7.3% | -0.5% | -4.0% | +3.8% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -7.5% | -5.2% | -3.4% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -3.4% | -5.5% | -5.0% | -2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.3% | -2.9% | -6.1% | -3.2% | +2.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +0.2% | -2.3% | -1.9% | -0.5% | +4.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +6.5% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +0.5% | +6.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.