TSCO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | -0.3% | 5.0% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 48% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.2% | 6.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 0.82 | 0.69 | -15.9% | +2.2% | +3.3% | -0.4% | +15.4% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 0.34 | 0.31 | -9.4% | -4.9% | -11.7% | -10.1% | -19.9% |
| 2026-01-29 miss | 0.46 | 0.43 | -7.2% | -4.1% | -7.6% | +6.9% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +1.7% | -3.0% | +2.8% | -4.0% | -6.1% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +1.0% | +7.3% | -0.5% | -4.0% | +3.8% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -7.5% | -5.2% | -3.4% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -3.4% | -5.5% | -5.0% | -2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.3% | -2.9% | -6.1% | -3.2% | +2.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +0.2% | -2.3% | -1.9% | -0.5% | +4.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +6.5% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +0.5% | +6.3% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +2.8% | +0.3% | +4.6% | -1.3% | +7.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +1.7% | -5.5% | -4.7% | +3.4% | +4.8% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -2.2% | +1.4% | +4.2% | +1.6% | -4.5% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -3.7% | -0.5% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -11.5% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +3.3% | +8.0% | +6.0% | +1.8% | +3.4% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.2% | +1.1% | -3.5% | +13.7% | +16.0% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +0.3% | -4.3% | -4.3% | -3.8% | +2.5% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +16.3% | -1.1% | -0.9% | -4.9% | -17.9% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.6% | +5.9% | +1.0% | +4.9% | -2.6% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +16.6% | +4.6% | +4.0% | -0.2% | +9.6% |
| 2021-07-19 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +7.6% | -5.0% | -4.3% | +3.9% | +5.5% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.20 | 0.31 | +55.0% | +3.2% | +4.4% | +1.3% | -2.5% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +8.3% | -2.3% | -2.8% | -2.1% | +8.8% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +18.3% | -4.7% | -8.1% | -2.9% | -5.3% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +10.9% | +4.6% | +0.0% | -1.8% | +5.0% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +1.1% | +0.0% | -0.4% | +6.7% | +17.6% |
| 2020-01-30 miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -1.5% | -6.5% | -1.3% | +2.9% | -2.5% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.2% | +3.0% | +3.0% | -3.0% | -0.8% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.5% | -6.7% | -0.9% | -3.1% | -13.1% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +13.0% | +0.7% | +1.0% | -1.9% | -3.7% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +2.0% | -3.5% | -4.7% | +6.3% | +9.9% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +9.1% | +0.1% | +5.8% | +3.8% | -0.2% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.3% | +2.4% | +2.8% | -2.1% | +10.2% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +0.3% | +0.9% | +7.2% | -0.8% | +10.0% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +4.5% | -5.6% | -6.3% | -7.7% | -9.8% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +5.6% | -5.2% | -1.0% | +4.0% | +12.9% |
| 2017-07-26 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -1.4% | +1.1% | +7.7% | -3.5% | +3.6% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +0.4% | -1.6% | -4.8% | -1.0% | -11.7% |
| 2017-02-01 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +2.8% | +3.8% | +1.9% | -0.2% | -2.6% |
| 2016-10-19 beat | 0.13 | 0.13 | +1.8% | -2.0% | -3.5% | -4.5% | +12.2% |
| 2016-07-20 beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +0.3% | -3.2% | -3.6% | +1.8% | -4.5% |
| 2016-04-20 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +8.1% | +5.5% | +4.7% | +0.7% | -0.5% |
| 2016-01-27 miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -0.7% | -1.9% | +0.9% | -1.4% | -0.5% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 0.13 | 0.13 | +2.0% | +4.5% | +5.5% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +0.8% | -0.2% | +0.7% | -3.6% | -10.3% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +3.2% | +0.8% | +0.5% | -5.7% | -0.8% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +5.8% | +1.4% | +4.3% | +0.3% | +7.2% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +9.1% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +18.2% | +22.9% |
| 2014-07-23 miss | 0.19 | 0.19 | -0.0% | +4.6% | +6.6% | -4.5% | -0.8% |
| 2014-04-23 miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -4.7% | -3.5% | -1.0% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2014-01-29 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +4.9% | -5.6% | -2.2% | -3.5% | +4.0% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +11.3% | +2.4% | +8.1% | -3.5% | -1.0% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +2.2% | -2.3% | -2.4% | +3.9% | +2.3% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +0.3% | -1.9% | -1.1% | -2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2013-01-30 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +7.7% | +7.6% | +9.8% | -0.6% | +0.0% |
| 2012-10-24 beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +3.1% | -0.2% | -2.4% | +1.9% | -2.3% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +4.2% | +13.2% | +17.1% | -3.5% | +3.8% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +0.9% | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +2.2% |
| 2012-02-01 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +2.7% | -1.1% | -2.3% | +4.3% | +8.6% |
| 2011-10-19 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +10.7% | +4.1% | +8.1% | +2.8% | +0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.