TSLA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -0.6% | 11.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.7% | +2.6% | 2.7% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | -0.7% | 4.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | -2.6% | 13.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 0.54 | 0.33 | -39.1% | -8.8% | -14.5% | -3.4% | +13.5% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 0.35 | 0.41 | +17.1% | -3.2% | -3.6% | +2.1% | +14.0% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +11.0% | +1.5% | -3.5% | -4.6% | -3.2% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 0.56 | 0.50 | -10.5% | -4.3% | +2.3% | -2.0% | -12.9% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -1.1% | -6.8% | -8.2% | +1.0% | +11.4% |
| 2025-04-22 miss | 0.41 | 0.27 | -34.9% | +7.1% | +5.4% | +12.5% | +36.0% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 0.77 | 0.73 | -5.1% | +5.6% | +2.9% | -6.5% | -28.9% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.60 | 0.72 | +20.5% | +14.5% | +21.9% | -4.1% | +35.4% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 0.62 | 0.52 | -16.1% | -8.5% | -12.3% | +7.4% | -2.5% |
| 2024-04-23 miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -8.1% | +12.6% | +12.1% | +11.0% | +7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.