TT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +2.2% | 5.3% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.5% | 1.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 1.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.9% | +1.1% | 7.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.26 | 4.31 | +1.1% | +4.7% | -1.5% | +8.7% | +2.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.53 | 2.63 | +3.9% | +2.5% | +2.7% | -4.6% | -8.9% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.81 | 2.86 | +1.6% | +6.0% | +8.1% | +2.4% | +9.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 3.78 | 3.88 | +2.7% | -1.6% | +4.4% | -2.4% | -8.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 3.79 | 3.88 | +2.3% | -7.7% | -8.4% | -1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.20 | 2.45 | +11.3% | +5.8% | +8.5% | +6.2% | +12.3% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.54 | 2.61 | +2.7% | -0.3% | +0.6% | -2.4% | -5.5% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 3.24 | 3.37 | +4.0% | -3.4% | -3.9% | +4.4% | +10.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 3.08 | 3.30 | +7.1% | +3.7% | +1.7% | -3.2% | +6.2% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.65 | 1.94 | +17.7% | +4.7% | +5.5% | +2.7% | +2.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.