TT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +2.5% | 4.4% | 77% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.4% | 1.5% | 53% |
| 5-day | +2.5% | +1.7% | 7.1% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.26 | 4.31 | +1.1% | +4.7% | -1.5% | +8.7% | +2.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.53 | 2.63 | +3.9% | +2.5% | +2.7% | -4.6% | -8.9% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.81 | 2.86 | +1.6% | +6.0% | +8.1% | +2.4% | +9.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 3.78 | 3.88 | +2.7% | -1.6% | +4.4% | -2.4% | -8.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 3.79 | 3.88 | +2.3% | -7.7% | -8.4% | -1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.20 | 2.45 | +11.3% | +5.8% | +8.5% | +6.2% | +12.3% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.54 | 2.61 | +2.7% | -0.3% | +0.6% | -2.4% | -5.5% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 3.24 | 3.37 | +4.0% | -3.4% | -3.9% | +4.4% | +10.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 3.08 | 3.30 | +7.1% | +3.7% | +1.7% | -3.2% | +6.2% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.65 | 1.94 | +17.7% | +4.7% | +5.5% | +2.7% | +2.4% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.17 | +1.7% | +6.5% | +7.4% | -0.3% | +6.4% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 2.66 | 2.79 | +4.8% | +5.4% | +12.2% | +3.9% | +6.6% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.56 | 2.68 | +4.8% | +1.3% | +3.0% | -1.5% | +0.1% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 1.34 | 1.41 | +5.5% | -0.8% | -5.7% | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.64 | 1.82 | +10.7% | +3.5% | +3.8% | -2.2% | +3.5% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 2.12 | 2.27 | +7.0% | +1.4% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +11.3% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 2.10 | 2.16 | +3.0% | +1.9% | +3.9% | +4.7% | +3.9% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.99 | 1.12 | +13.3% | -0.8% | +1.2% | -7.1% | -2.0% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 1.31 | 1.36 | +3.7% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -9.3% | -10.3% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 1.85 | 1.80 | -2.6% | +0.6% | -2.6% | +6.2% | +8.4% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 1.89 | 1.92 | +1.8% | -3.2% | -3.0% | -3.5% | +0.4% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.62 | 1.01 | +62.2% | +0.3% | +2.3% | -0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 0.93 | 1.03 | +10.9% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +7.5% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 1.33 | 1.72 | +29.1% | -0.3% | +3.4% | +7.4% | +12.2% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.76 | 1.27 | +67.8% | +12.8% | +6.5% | +4.2% | +7.6% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 0.52 | 0.43 | -16.6% | -7.3% | -3.5% | -6.6% | +16.3% |
| 2020-01-29 miss | 1.42 | 1.40 | -1.7% | -1.8% | +2.7% | +5.6% | -3.9% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.91 | 1.99 | +4.0% | +1.9% | +4.7% | +2.3% | +3.1% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 2.05 | 2.09 | +1.7% | +0.1% | +3.6% | -5.6% | -7.2% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +11.3% | +0.9% | +1.8% | -0.5% | -2.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.