TTD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -7.8% | -5.2% | 18.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -1.8% | 5.0% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 1.4% | 70% |
| 5-day | -6.2% | -9.3% | 23.7% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -14.6% | -27.2% | -21.9% | +2.5% | +1.6% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -12.4% | -10.7% | -1.7% | -8.4% | -13.8% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.7% | -16.1% | -4.8% | +24.4% | -11.1% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.9% | +0.2% | -6.3% | -2.5% | -8.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.9% | -35.9% | -38.6% | -3.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.25 | 0.33 | +33.2% | +16.4% | +18.6% | +7.4% | +1.9% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.6% | -30.4% | -33.0% | -12.0% | -31.0% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.3% | -12.4% | -5.6% | -5.6% | +6.0% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +9.5% | +2.0% | +12.5% | +2.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +20.7% | +2.3% | +3.1% | +5.1% | +4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.