TTD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | -0.8% | 18.1% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -2.0% | 6.4% | 33% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 4.7% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -1.0% | 20.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -14.6% | -27.2% | -21.9% | +2.5% | +1.6% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -12.4% | -10.7% | -1.7% | -8.4% | -13.8% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.7% | -16.1% | -4.8% | +24.4% | -11.1% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.9% | +0.2% | -6.3% | -2.5% | -8.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.9% | -35.9% | -38.6% | -3.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.25 | 0.33 | +33.2% | +16.4% | +18.6% | +7.4% | +1.9% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.6% | -30.4% | -33.0% | -12.0% | -31.0% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.3% | -12.4% | -5.6% | -5.6% | +6.0% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +9.5% | +2.0% | +12.5% | +2.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +20.7% | +2.3% | +3.1% | +5.1% | +4.5% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -4.6% | +18.2% | +17.5% | -7.6% | -10.3% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +13.6% | -19.7% | -16.7% | +3.8% | +11.5% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +8.5% | -2.2% | -4.7% | -7.7% | +12.2% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.12 | 0.23 | +87.9% | +4.2% | -0.7% | +4.6% | +17.0% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.0% | +16.4% | +32.8% | -15.2% | -11.7% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +15.2% | +8.0% | -8.0% | +28.9% | +19.9% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.4% | +25.0% | +36.2% | -5.5% | -9.9% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +47.1% | -3.7% | -0.9% | +17.2% | +13.7% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.28 | 0.42 | +51.2% | -4.6% | +0.5% | +2.4% | -15.0% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +20.0% | +23.0% | +29.5% | +18.8% | +10.3% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | 0.13 | 0.18 | +42.8% | -1.7% | -3.2% | -2.9% | -11.1% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +75.1% | -14.2% | -26.0% | +3.7% | +19.5% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.19 | 0.37 | +97.5% | -0.7% | +6.7% | -10.8% | -18.0% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +181.2% | +13.0% | +26.6% | -10.3% | +11.7% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.03 | 0.09 | +238.0% | +3.2% | +2.6% | -5.6% | -14.8% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +120.0% | -7.2% | -2.2% | -4.9% | +15.0% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +28.6% | +5.9% | +14.9% | -11.9% | -31.2% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +13.1% | -2.1% | +1.4% | +17.2% | +27.9% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +39.0% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -8.6% | -22.8% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +100.7% | -1.9% | -14.5% | +6.4% | +31.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.