TW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -1.0% | 5.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.3% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +1.9% | 5.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.5% | -7.6% | -9.6% | +5.6% | +11.3% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.06 | 1.08 | +1.5% | -4.0% | +5.1% | -7.4% | -15.1% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +3.0% | +0.2% | +8.6% | +5.9% | +15.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.83 | 0.87 | +4.9% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +2.6% | +2.5% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.87 | +1.3% | +0.1% | +5.6% | -6.2% | -15.1% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.86 | +0.4% | -1.9% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.4% | +2.1% | -1.4% | +4.0% | +7.8% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -1.2% | +0.6% | -2.0% | -0.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +0.8% | -3.2% | -2.9% | +5.4% | +11.9% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.5% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +3.3% | +9.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.