TW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.6% | 4.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 2.3% | 67% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +2.1% | 5.8% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.5% | -7.6% | -9.6% | +5.6% | +11.3% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.06 | 1.08 | +1.5% | -4.0% | +5.1% | -7.4% | -15.1% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +3.0% | +0.2% | +8.6% | +5.9% | +15.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.83 | 0.87 | +4.9% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +2.6% | +2.5% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.87 | +1.3% | +0.1% | +5.6% | -6.2% | -15.1% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.86 | +0.4% | -1.9% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.4% | +2.1% | -1.4% | +4.0% | +7.8% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -1.2% | +0.6% | -2.0% | -0.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +0.8% | -3.2% | -2.9% | +5.4% | +11.9% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.5% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +3.3% | +9.9% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.1% | -1.6% | -0.3% | +4.5% | +6.7% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 0.55 | 0.55 | -0.0% | -2.9% | +5.4% | +4.2% | +9.3% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +3.5% | +2.0% | +7.8% | +2.0% | +6.0% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.9% | +2.6% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.5% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +6.5% | +1.2% | -5.6% | +2.4% | +1.5% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +3.6% | +1.4% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +7.4% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.6% | -0.3% | -1.7% | +4.5% | +0.1% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -1.1% | -3.0% | -3.3% | -12.8% | -8.4% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.1% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.0% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +6.7% | +11.1% |
| 2021-07-29 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.6% | -0.1% | -0.3% | +1.7% | +2.4% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.9% | -1.9% | +1.6% | +1.8% | +3.7% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +1.2% | -0.5% | -1.6% | +7.1% | +14.3% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.8% | -3.0% | -4.9% | +4.0% | +5.2% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.6% | -0.5% | -1.9% | +0.1% | +6.6% |
| 2020-04-20 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +4.9% | -3.0% | -2.0% | +3.8% | +19.9% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +10.2% | -7.4% |
| 2019-10-15 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +4.8% | +1.9% | +5.9% | -4.4% | +1.2% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +6.8% | +2.9% | -3.5% | +1.7% | -6.2% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.6% | +3.9% | +3.0% | +7.1% | +5.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.