UA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.8% | -3.8% | 9.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +2.3% | 5.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -1.7% | -1.9% | 4.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | -5.3% | -6.5% | 13.8% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +100.0% | +5.0% | +6.2% | +13.2% | +5.4% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.04 | 0.16 | +300.0% | -2.4% | -0.8% | -2.7% | -3.3% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | -0.05 | 0.12 | +340.0% | +8.0% | +7.0% | -1.3% | +3.7% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 0.05 | 0.26 | +420.0% | +10.0% | +1.6% | +6.5% | +20.1% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | -0.41 | -0.31 | +24.4% | +0.3% | -6.8% | -3.1% | -6.7% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | -0.21 | -0.34 | -61.9% | -5.7% | -10.5% | -8.8% | +17.8% |
| 2020-02-11 miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -9.1% | -15.9% | -16.7% | -1.1% | -42.1% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +21.1% | -15.3% | -18.4% | +3.4% | +10.2% |
| 2019-07-30 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | -17.2% | -13.7% | -9.9% | -21.6% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +600.0% | +7.8% | +3.6% | -3.8% | +1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.