UA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.8% | -0.8% | 12.7% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 4.4% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -1.5% | -1.9% | 3.6% | 29% |
| 5-day | -5.2% | -5.0% | 15.2% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +100.0% | +5.0% | +6.2% | +13.2% | +5.4% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.04 | 0.16 | +300.0% | -2.4% | -0.8% | -2.7% | -3.3% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | -0.05 | 0.12 | +340.0% | +8.0% | +7.0% | -1.3% | +3.7% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 0.05 | 0.26 | +420.0% | +10.0% | +1.6% | +6.5% | +20.1% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | -0.41 | -0.31 | +24.4% | +0.3% | -6.8% | -3.1% | -6.7% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | -0.21 | -0.34 | -61.9% | -5.7% | -10.5% | -8.8% | +17.8% |
| 2020-02-11 miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -9.1% | -15.9% | -16.7% | -1.1% | -42.1% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +21.1% | -15.3% | -18.4% | +3.4% | +10.2% |
| 2019-07-30 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | -17.2% | -13.7% | -9.9% | -21.6% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +600.0% | +7.8% | +3.6% | -3.8% | +1.6% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +125.0% | -2.2% | +4.5% | -4.1% | -0.5% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +92.3% | +18.0% | +24.7% | -0.3% | +3.7% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +11.1% | +0.0% | +4.1% | -11.6% | -4.1% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | -3.8% | +5.2% | +2.2% | +17.2% |
| 2018-02-13 miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | +10.4% | +16.0% | +0.2% | -9.5% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +10.0% | -11.7% | -21.8% | -6.9% | +3.5% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +50.0% | -6.1% | -10.4% | +6.0% | -6.5% |
| 2017-01-31 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -6.0% | -25.1% | -23.4% | -7.4% | -1.4% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +20.8% | -14.6% | -13.8% | -10.1% | -15.7% |
| 2016-07-26 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -49.6% | -0.9% | -3.3% | -8.3% | +3.7% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +100.0% | +8.4% | +6.9% | -8.4% | -22.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.