UBSI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +0.6% | 2.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +7.1% | -0.2% | +1.0% | +2.1% | +1.0% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.7% | +0.3% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +6.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.82 | 0.92 | +11.7% | +0.9% | -0.8% | +1.8% | +5.9% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +10.3% | +0.8% | -0.7% | -2.9% | +5.8% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.76 | +20.0% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-01-24 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -7.8% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.2% | -1.0% | +0.8% | +1.3% | +15.1% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +10.2% | +1.5% | +3.5% | -2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -1.8% | -0.7% | -4.0% | +1.4% | -1.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.