UBSI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.4% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.6% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | +0.3% | 5.0% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +7.1% | -0.2% | +1.0% | +2.1% | +1.0% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.7% | +0.3% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +6.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.82 | 0.92 | +11.7% | +0.9% | -0.8% | +1.8% | +5.9% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +10.3% | +0.8% | -0.7% | -2.9% | +5.8% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.76 | +20.0% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-01-24 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -7.8% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.2% | -1.0% | +0.8% | +1.3% | +15.1% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +10.2% | +1.5% | +3.5% | -2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -1.8% | -0.7% | -4.0% | +1.4% | -1.9% |
| 2024-01-26 miss | 0.67 | 0.59 | -11.5% | +2.4% | -0.5% | -3.1% | -6.4% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.71 | +9.2% | +0.1% | +4.0% | +5.0% | +23.4% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +3.0% | +1.7% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -12.3% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.74 | 0.73 | -1.1% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -3.3% | -5.5% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | 0.78 | 0.74 | -5.6% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +6.5% | +3.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.66 | 0.76 | +14.7% | +1.5% | +4.0% | +4.8% | +4.0% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.63 | 0.71 | +13.3% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.9% | -1.9% | -1.5% | +2.6% | +7.9% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +11.8% | -0.2% | -3.5% | +0.5% | +4.0% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.72 | +10.2% | +0.1% | -0.9% | +1.2% | +4.7% |
| 2021-07-23 beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.5% | +2.0% | +1.5% | +0.7% | +4.7% |
| 2021-04-23 beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +13.6% | +0.1% | +4.1% | -1.0% | +3.4% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.57 | 0.71 | +24.0% | +3.7% | +4.2% | +2.3% | +13.1% |
| 2020-10-23 beat | 0.56 | 0.88 | +57.6% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +14.3% |
| 2020-07-24 beat | 0.43 | 0.76 | +78.4% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -8.4% | -4.7% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.49 | 0.39 | -19.1% | -4.5% | -3.8% | -12.5% | -3.8% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +1.7% | +0.1% | -3.5% | +3.3% | -15.8% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +2.5% | +0.9% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -4.6% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.0% | +0.4% | -0.6% | -3.4% | -5.6% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +2.3% | -0.5% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.