UMBF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -1.0% | 2.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 2.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +1.4% | 7.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 3.12 | 3.57 | +14.5% | +1.6% | +3.0% | -1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.82 | 3.41 | +21.0% | +2.0% | -0.9% | +7.8% | +5.7% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.47 | 2.74 | +10.8% | -2.9% | -0.2% | +5.1% | -7.0% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 2.50 | 2.70 | +8.0% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -5.4% | -0.2% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 2.37 | 2.96 | +24.6% | +2.0% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +10.3% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.11 | 1.21 | +985.9% | -7.0% | -3.3% | +7.2% | +9.0% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 2.26 | 2.49 | +10.1% | -1.3% | +0.8% | -4.1% | -10.0% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 2.20 | 2.25 | +2.3% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +13.1% | +12.9% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.01 | 2.16 | +7.4% | +4.0% | +3.0% | -10.1% | +0.9% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 1.80 | 2.47 | +37.0% | -8.3% | -6.5% | +5.6% | +1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.