UMBF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.5% | 4.3% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.4% | 5.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 3.12 | 3.57 | +14.5% | +1.6% | +3.0% | -1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.82 | 3.41 | +21.0% | +2.0% | -0.9% | +7.8% | +5.7% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.47 | 2.74 | +10.8% | -2.9% | -0.2% | +5.1% | -7.0% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 2.50 | 2.70 | +8.0% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -5.4% | -0.2% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 2.37 | 2.96 | +24.6% | +2.0% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +10.3% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.11 | 1.21 | +985.9% | -7.0% | -3.3% | +7.2% | +9.0% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 2.26 | 2.49 | +10.1% | -1.3% | +0.8% | -4.1% | -10.0% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 2.20 | 2.25 | +2.3% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +13.1% | +12.9% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.01 | 2.16 | +7.4% | +4.0% | +3.0% | -10.1% | +0.9% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 1.80 | 2.47 | +37.0% | -8.3% | -6.5% | +5.6% | +1.5% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 1.76 | 2.29 | +29.8% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -4.1% | -2.3% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.77 | 2.02 | +13.9% | -3.9% | +1.5% | +1.9% | +14.5% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.93 | 1.93 | +0.2% | +3.6% | +5.3% | -4.4% | -11.2% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.89 | 1.91 | +0.9% | +9.2% | +10.3% | -9.5% | -3.6% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 2.00 | 2.07 | +3.4% | +0.3% | +3.1% | +2.5% | +3.6% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 2.15 | 1.82 | -15.4% | -5.7% | -10.3% | +1.1% | +6.6% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.90 | 2.83 | +49.3% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.67 | 2.17 | +30.2% | +0.0% | +2.9% | -0.7% | -2.8% |
| 2022-01-25 miss | 1.86 | 1.62 | -12.8% | -1.4% | -5.2% | +5.7% | +6.7% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.80 | 1.95 | +8.4% | -9.9% | -7.4% | +6.8% | +5.4% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.75 | 1.80 | +2.7% | -0.8% | +4.3% | +0.0% | -2.4% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.48 | 1.91 | +29.2% | -2.4% | +1.8% | +1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 1.49 | 3.26 | +119.0% | -2.8% | -2.7% | +5.9% | +20.5% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 1.02 | 1.59 | +56.1% | -1.8% | +3.7% | +4.5% | +20.8% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.37 | 1.33 | +259.5% | +7.0% | +7.1% | +1.2% | +11.7% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 0.87 | -0.04 | -104.6% | +4.1% | +4.4% | -12.9% | -0.7% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.36 | +16.7% | +4.0% | +2.9% | +3.7% | -13.6% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.17 | 1.27 | +8.8% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -0.3% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -5.3% | -8.2% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 1.10 | 1.19 | +8.5% | +2.4% | +2.9% | +3.8% | -1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.