UNH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.3% | -2.8% | 10.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +2.0% | 3.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -4.5% | -4.0% | 13.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 4.92 | 6.38 | +29.8% | +7.4% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -5.1% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 6.60 | 7.23 | +9.5% | +9.1% | +7.0% | +6.0% | +10.8% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.11 | 2.11 | +0.2% | -16.4% | -19.6% | +0.5% | +1.4% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.81 | 2.92 | +4.0% | +4.0% | +0.5% | -10.1% | -10.4% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 4.45 | 4.08 | -8.2% | -5.8% | -7.5% | -3.9% | +16.4% |
| 2025-04-17 miss | 7.29 | 7.20 | -1.3% | -17.6% | -22.4% | -7.8% | -30.4% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 6.74 | 6.81 | +1.1% | -2.4% | -6.0% | +4.3% | -1.9% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 7.03 | 7.15 | +1.7% | -8.8% | -8.1% | +2.4% | +8.9% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 6.63 | 6.80 | +2.5% | +3.6% | +6.5% | +1.1% | +5.6% |
| 2024-04-16 beat | 6.62 | 6.91 | +4.4% | +7.0% | +5.2% | +3.7% | +10.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.