UNH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | +0.4% | 7.0% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 2.4% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -0.2% | 9.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 4.92 | 6.38 | +29.8% | +7.4% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -5.1% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 6.60 | 7.23 | +9.5% | +9.1% | +7.0% | +6.0% | +10.8% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.11 | 2.11 | +0.2% | -16.4% | -19.6% | +0.5% | +1.4% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.81 | 2.92 | +4.0% | +4.0% | +0.5% | -10.1% | -10.4% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 4.45 | 4.08 | -8.2% | -5.8% | -7.5% | -3.9% | +16.4% |
| 2025-04-17 miss | 7.29 | 7.20 | -1.3% | -17.6% | -22.4% | -7.8% | -30.4% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 6.74 | 6.81 | +1.1% | -2.4% | -6.0% | +4.3% | -1.9% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 7.03 | 7.15 | +1.7% | -8.8% | -8.1% | +2.4% | +8.9% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 6.63 | 6.80 | +2.5% | +3.6% | +6.5% | +1.1% | +5.6% |
| 2024-04-16 beat | 6.62 | 6.91 | +4.4% | +7.0% | +5.2% | +3.7% | +10.4% |
| 2024-01-12 beat | 5.99 | 6.16 | +2.9% | -3.9% | -3.4% | -1.6% | -0.9% |
| 2023-10-13 beat | 6.35 | 6.56 | +3.3% | +1.5% | +2.6% | -2.3% | +0.6% |
| 2023-07-14 beat | 5.98 | 6.14 | +2.7% | +3.3% | +7.2% | +5.5% | +6.4% |
| 2023-04-14 beat | 6.08 | 6.26 | +3.0% | -0.8% | -2.7% | -5.5% | -4.9% |
| 2023-01-13 beat | 5.17 | 5.34 | +3.2% | -1.9% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +0.7% |
| 2022-10-14 beat | 5.44 | 5.79 | +6.5% | +2.0% | +0.6% | +4.0% | +0.1% |
| 2022-07-15 beat | 5.21 | 5.57 | +6.9% | +4.7% | +5.4% | -1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2022-04-14 beat | 5.35 | 5.49 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -2.6% | -8.5% |
| 2022-01-19 beat | 4.31 | 4.48 | +4.0% | +1.5% | +0.3% | -0.9% | +1.7% |
| 2021-10-14 beat | 4.42 | 4.52 | +2.4% | +5.5% | +4.2% | +5.2% | +9.2% |
| 2021-07-15 beat | 4.46 | 4.70 | +5.4% | -0.7% | +1.3% | -1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2021-04-15 beat | 4.38 | 5.31 | +21.2% | +1.2% | +3.8% | +1.7% | +5.1% |
| 2021-01-20 beat | 2.41 | 2.52 | +4.5% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -5.1% | -7.5% |
| 2020-10-14 beat | 3.08 | 3.51 | +13.8% | -2.8% | -2.9% | +0.3% | +10.1% |
| 2020-07-15 beat | 5.24 | 7.12 | +36.0% | -2.4% | -1.4% | +0.9% | +5.7% |
| 2020-04-15 beat | 3.65 | 3.72 | +1.9% | +2.2% | +4.1% | -1.7% | +3.2% |
| 2020-01-15 beat | 3.78 | 3.90 | +3.2% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +1.0% | +0.8% |
| 2019-10-15 beat | 3.76 | 3.88 | +3.1% | +5.5% | +8.2% | +4.6% | +6.3% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 3.46 | 3.60 | +4.0% | -0.4% | -2.3% | -4.6% | -5.7% |
| 2019-04-16 beat | 3.60 | 3.73 | +3.5% | +3.4% | -4.0% | +4.2% | +7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.