UPS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -2.7% | 7.7% | 37% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 2.0% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 1.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -3.4% | 9.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.66 | 1.76 | +5.8% | -3.9% | -6.6% | +3.4% | +0.1% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.02 | 1.07 | +4.8% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -5.6% | +2.6% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.20 | 2.38 | +8.1% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +4.3% | +8.8% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.30 | 1.74 | +33.9% | +10.3% | +8.0% | -3.2% | -0.7% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 1.57 | 1.55 | -1.0% | -3.3% | -10.6% | -4.5% | -3.3% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.38 | 1.49 | +7.9% | -1.1% | -0.4% | -3.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.53 | 2.75 | +8.6% | -12.3% | -14.1% | -1.2% | +3.8% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.62 | 1.76 | +8.4% | +10.3% | +5.3% | -3.1% | -2.6% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 1.99 | 1.79 | -10.1% | -10.4% | -12.1% | +1.1% | +0.2% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.34 | 1.43 | +6.7% | +0.4% | +2.4% | -0.9% | -3.4% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 2.46 | 2.47 | +0.4% | -7.1% | -8.2% | +0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.56 | 1.57 | +0.6% | -3.0% | -5.9% | +2.7% | +8.2% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 2.50 | 2.54 | +1.8% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -4.0% | -10.1% |
| 2023-04-25 miss | 2.21 | 2.20 | -0.4% | -6.7% | -10.0% | +0.9% | -4.9% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 3.58 | 3.62 | +1.0% | +1.0% | +4.7% | +1.7% | -0.3% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.85 | 2.99 | +4.9% | +2.8% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +9.5% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 3.16 | 3.29 | +4.1% | -4.6% | -3.4% | +6.6% | +11.8% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 2.88 | 3.05 | +5.8% | -1.6% | -3.5% | -2.7% | -5.0% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 3.10 | 3.59 | +15.6% | +11.3% | +14.1% | -2.4% | -7.9% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 2.55 | 2.71 | +6.4% | +5.0% | +6.9% | -4.1% | -4.4% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 2.81 | 3.06 | +8.8% | -5.6% | -7.0% | -0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.72 | 2.77 | +61.1% | +8.2% | +10.4% | +10.4% | +10.1% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 2.15 | 2.66 | +23.9% | +4.4% | +2.6% | +4.1% | -0.5% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 1.90 | 2.28 | +20.0% | -4.5% | -8.8% | +4.4% | +8.4% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 1.08 | 2.13 | +97.6% | +11.3% | +14.4% | +2.8% | +14.8% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 1.23 | 1.15 | -6.5% | -3.2% | -6.0% | -3.9% | +3.4% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 2.11 | 2.11 | +0.1% | -3.0% | -6.7% | -1.4% | -14.1% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 2.06 | 2.07 | +0.6% | -2.3% | -2.0% | +0.7% | +2.5% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.93 | 1.96 | +1.6% | +4.6% | +8.7% | +4.4% | +0.7% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | 1.43 | 1.39 | -2.7% | -4.2% | -8.1% | +0.4% | -8.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.