VAC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -1.4% | 10.9% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -1.3% | -1.1% | 2.9% | 25% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.3% | 4.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -0.7% | 13.8% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.00 | 2.31 | +15.4% | +8.9% | +22.6% | -2.8% | -14.5% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 1.71 | 1.24 | -27.3% | -3.1% | +5.0% | -1.8% | +17.8% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.71 | 1.86 | +9.0% | +21.4% | +16.7% | +6.4% | -2.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.60 | 1.69 | +5.6% | -16.3% | -26.4% | -7.0% | +6.9% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 1.73 | 1.96 | +13.2% | +2.3% | -1.8% | +0.9% | +8.0% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.43 | 1.66 | +15.8% | +6.5% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.56 | 1.86 | +19.2% | -3.3% | -9.3% | -7.4% | -14.6% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.62 | 1.80 | +11.3% | +4.7% | +13.2% | -3.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 2.05 | 1.10 | -46.4% | -7.5% | -7.9% | -8.9% | -5.0% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 1.73 | 1.80 | +4.2% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +1.5% | -8.9% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 1.78 | 1.88 | +5.7% | +3.8% | +9.6% | -2.9% | +3.0% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 2.14 | 1.20 | -44.0% | -3.3% | -7.2% | -7.3% | -6.5% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 2.87 | 2.19 | -23.6% | -10.2% | -10.7% | +1.9% | -0.6% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 2.03 | 2.54 | +25.4% | +1.5% | -3.5% | -4.3% | -1.9% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 2.74 | 2.74 | +0.2% | -1.0% | -1.7% | +0.9% | -16.6% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 2.53 | 3.02 | +19.4% | +2.2% | -1.4% | -4.3% | +2.3% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 2.27 | 2.87 | +26.6% | +1.9% | +2.6% | +6.8% | -0.9% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.53 | 1.70 | +11.4% | +2.2% | +1.0% | -0.4% | +7.3% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 2.11 | 2.38 | +13.1% | -3.7% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -3.5% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 1.41 | 1.60 | +13.2% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +0.8% | -3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.