VAC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 7.9% | 52% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.9% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 3.4% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.5% | 10.4% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.00 | 2.31 | +15.4% | +8.9% | +22.6% | -2.8% | -14.5% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 1.71 | 1.24 | -27.3% | -3.1% | +5.0% | -1.8% | +17.8% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.71 | 1.86 | +9.0% | +21.4% | +16.7% | +6.4% | -2.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.60 | 1.69 | +5.6% | -16.3% | -26.4% | -7.0% | +6.9% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 1.73 | 1.96 | +13.2% | +2.3% | -1.8% | +0.9% | +8.0% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.43 | 1.66 | +15.8% | +6.5% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.56 | 1.86 | +19.2% | -3.3% | -9.3% | -7.4% | -14.6% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.62 | 1.80 | +11.3% | +4.7% | +13.2% | -3.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 2.05 | 1.10 | -46.4% | -7.5% | -7.9% | -8.9% | -5.0% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 1.73 | 1.80 | +4.2% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +1.5% | -8.9% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 1.78 | 1.88 | +5.7% | +3.8% | +9.6% | -2.9% | +3.0% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 2.14 | 1.20 | -44.0% | -3.3% | -7.2% | -7.3% | -6.5% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 2.87 | 2.19 | -23.6% | -10.2% | -10.7% | +1.9% | -0.6% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 2.03 | 2.54 | +25.4% | +1.5% | -3.5% | -4.3% | -1.9% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 2.74 | 2.74 | +0.2% | -1.0% | -1.7% | +0.9% | -16.6% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 2.53 | 3.02 | +19.4% | +2.2% | -1.4% | -4.3% | +2.3% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 2.27 | 2.87 | +26.6% | +1.9% | +2.6% | +6.8% | -0.9% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.53 | 1.70 | +11.4% | +2.2% | +1.0% | -0.4% | +7.3% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 2.11 | 2.38 | +13.1% | -3.7% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -3.5% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 1.41 | 1.60 | +13.2% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +0.8% | -3.6% |
| 2021-07-28 miss | 0.89 | 0.85 | -4.5% | -1.4% | -3.8% | -3.6% | +4.3% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | -0.30 | -0.49 | -61.3% | +0.4% | -1.5% | -1.4% | +1.1% |
| 2021-02-24 miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -145.9% | +0.8% | -4.3% | +1.7% | +4.1% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | -0.67 | -0.81 | -20.2% | +0.9% | +9.9% | +10.2% | +25.8% |
| 2020-07-29 miss | -1.16 | -1.76 | -51.4% | -3.6% | -3.2% | +2.3% | +12.7% |
| 2020-05-22 miss | 2.15 | -0.75 | -134.9% | +5.3% | +2.7% | +3.3% | -12.3% |
| 2020-02-26 miss | 2.58 | 2.43 | -5.7% | +4.5% | +1.1% | -7.1% | -37.9% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 2.02 | 1.97 | -2.4% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +6.8% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.77 | 1.99 | +12.3% | +0.0% | -5.4% | -7.5% | +2.0% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 1.66 | 1.45 | -12.7% | -2.6% | -5.5% | -2.9% | -9.3% |
| 2019-02-28 beat | 1.32 | 1.49 | +12.6% | +5.9% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -3.9% |
| 2018-11-07 miss | 1.79 | 1.42 | -20.6% | -5.3% | -4.7% | -16.7% | -19.4% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 1.81 | 1.59 | -12.1% | -0.2% | +4.6% | -3.8% | -2.7% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | 1.54 | 1.39 | -9.4% | -2.4% | -3.2% | -0.5% | +2.2% |
| 2018-02-27 beat | 1.16 | 1.56 | +34.9% | +2.5% | -2.8% | +5.4% | -3.4% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 1.20 | 1.41 | +17.9% | +2.5% | +4.1% | -2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 1.27 | 1.60 | +26.1% | +3.3% | +1.8% | -5.9% | +1.3% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 1.18 | 1.22 | +3.6% | -1.1% | +5.9% | -6.2% | -1.3% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 1.74 | 1.83 | +5.3% | +3.0% | +8.3% | -2.9% | -0.2% |
| 2016-10-13 miss | 1.14 | 0.96 | -16.1% | -12.8% | -8.9% | +4.9% | +16.4% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 1.02 | 1.08 | +6.1% | +6.9% | +10.2% | +1.2% | +2.5% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.96 | 0.87 | -9.2% | -2.5% | -7.4% | -4.9% | -3.9% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | 0.92 | 1.11 | +20.6% | +6.6% | +13.4% | +1.7% | +6.2% |
| 2015-10-15 miss | 0.87 | 0.82 | -6.1% | -6.4% | -15.2% | +0.7% | -7.7% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.5% | +0.4% | -8.9% | -1.1% | -14.2% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.85 | +20.4% | +4.1% | +4.7% | +2.7% | +8.3% |
| 2015-02-26 beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +13.5% | +0.4% | -1.8% | +2.6% | +7.6% |
| 2014-10-16 beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +1.0% | -2.7% | +6.2% | +5.8% | +14.9% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 0.75 | 0.87 | +15.6% | +1.8% | +2.0% | -1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2014-04-29 miss | 0.56 | 0.56 | -0.6% | -2.8% | +3.2% | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| 2014-02-27 miss | 0.39 | 0.32 | -17.8% | -1.8% | +3.0% | +4.2% | +5.7% |
| 2013-10-10 beat | 0.39 | 0.72 | +84.6% | +6.2% | +5.6% | +4.5% | +8.0% |
| 2013-07-18 beat | 0.48 | 0.73 | +53.4% | +1.7% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -2.0% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.44 | 0.54 | +21.7% | +4.3% | +3.9% | -2.2% | -2.8% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | 0.46 | 0.54 | +17.4% | +0.5% | -11.7% | +2.2% | +6.0% |
| 2012-10-18 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -9.1% | +0.2% | -1.6% | +0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +8.9% | +3.3% | +8.1% | -2.0% | -2.4% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +23.4% | +0.5% | +1.5% | +3.5% | -11.3% |
| 2012-03-15 miss | 0.42 | 0.09 | -79.2% | +1.7% | +3.1% | -3.3% | +3.3% |
| 2011-12-07 beat | 0.14 | 2.64 | +1726.0% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +6.7% | +6.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.