VAL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.9% | 5.5% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -2.2% | -2.5% | 4.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +1.1% | 3.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.1% | 11.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.18 | 0.72 | +295.4% | +6.4% | +0.3% | +10.3% | +12.3% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | -0.09 | -0.24 | -174.1% | -7.7% | -9.5% | +4.7% | +0.1% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.42 | 10.26 | +2355.0% | -3.2% | +3.5% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.90 | 2.65 | +195.3% | +2.7% | +2.2% | -6.3% | -0.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.61 | +34.3% | +2.6% | -0.1% | -3.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 1.24 | -0.53 | -142.8% | +3.3% | +10.0% | +5.4% | +8.8% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.02 | 1.88 | +84.8% | +7.4% | +4.1% | -17.8% | -11.0% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 1.07 | 0.88 | -18.0% | +7.6% | +3.7% | +1.2% | -8.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.70 | 2.03 | +189.7% | +4.2% | -6.4% | -11.3% | -17.0% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.04 | 0.35 | +893.5% | +3.3% | +1.5% | +14.7% | +12.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.