VAL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.3% | 5.1% | 52% |
| Day 2 | -1.7% | -2.3% | 3.4% | 33% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 3.2% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.2% | 8.3% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.18 | 0.72 | +295.4% | +6.4% | +0.3% | +10.3% | +12.3% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | -0.09 | -0.24 | -174.1% | -7.7% | -9.5% | +4.7% | +0.1% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.42 | 10.26 | +2355.0% | -3.2% | +3.5% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.90 | 2.65 | +195.3% | +2.7% | +2.2% | -6.3% | -0.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.61 | +34.3% | +2.6% | -0.1% | -3.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 1.24 | -0.53 | -142.8% | +3.3% | +10.0% | +5.4% | +8.8% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.02 | 1.88 | +84.8% | +7.4% | +4.1% | -17.8% | -11.0% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 1.07 | 0.88 | -18.0% | +7.6% | +3.7% | +1.2% | -8.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.70 | 2.03 | +189.7% | +4.2% | -6.4% | -11.3% | -17.0% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.04 | 0.35 | +893.5% | +3.3% | +1.5% | +14.7% | +12.7% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 0.10 | 11.30 | +11485.0% | +4.6% | +3.6% | -7.9% | +7.3% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.17 | +655.6% | +0.4% | -2.3% | +7.5% | -2.1% |
| 2023-08-01 miss | -0.31 | -0.39 | -25.7% | -1.7% | -1.3% | -1.0% | +0.5% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | -0.38 | 0.61 | +259.5% | +4.6% | -4.4% | +1.9% | +6.8% |
| 2023-02-20 miss | 0.44 | 0.39 | -11.3% | -1.7% | -3.6% | +8.3% | -3.7% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 0.41 | 0.99 | +142.4% | +1.4% | -6.0% | +6.2% | +4.5% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | -0.25 | 1.87 | +833.8% | +2.2% | +6.1% | -4.7% | +0.1% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | -0.96 | -0.51 | +46.7% | +0.5% | +9.4% | -7.7% | +8.6% |
| 2022-02-21 beat | -0.26 | 0.45 | +276.3% | +0.2% | -2.1% | +9.4% | +29.3% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | -0.71 | -0.63 | +11.6% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +5.5% | -13.6% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | -0.63 | -0.13 | +79.9% | +1.4% | +4.4% | +0.3% | +7.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.