VC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +2.7% | 6.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +1.5% | 1.9% | 70% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +3.4% | 6.4% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 2.19 | 1.91 | -12.9% | -4.9% | -3.0% | +4.9% | +5.8% |
| 2026-04-23 miss | 1.84 | 1.65 | -10.2% | -2.0% | +9.4% | +2.1% | +3.7% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 2.10 | 2.96 | +41.2% | -6.3% | -11.5% | +5.1% | -9.2% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 2.14 | 2.15 | +0.7% | +0.5% | -4.5% | -4.4% | -7.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 2.15 | 2.39 | +11.3% | +2.4% | +0.8% | -3.5% | +8.9% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.86 | 2.40 | +29.1% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +1.8% | +6.4% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.97 | 4.44 | +125.9% | +0.4% | +5.0% | +2.1% | -7.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.83 | 2.26 | +23.3% | +5.3% | +5.5% | -2.4% | -0.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.96 | 2.54 | +29.8% | +5.0% | +6.3% | -0.8% | -10.8% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 1.68 | 1.57 | -6.2% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +5.1% | +0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.