VC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.7% | +3.7% | 6.1% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.0% | 2.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 2.4% | 55% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +3.1% | 8.6% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 2.19 | 1.91 | -12.9% | -4.9% | -3.0% | +4.9% | +5.8% |
| 2026-04-23 miss | 1.84 | 1.65 | -10.2% | -2.0% | +9.4% | +2.1% | +3.7% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 2.10 | 2.96 | +41.2% | -6.3% | -11.5% | +5.1% | -9.2% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 2.14 | 2.15 | +0.7% | +0.5% | -4.5% | -4.4% | -7.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 2.15 | 2.39 | +11.3% | +2.4% | +0.8% | -3.5% | +8.9% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.86 | 2.40 | +29.1% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +1.8% | +6.4% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.97 | 4.44 | +125.9% | +0.4% | +5.0% | +2.1% | -7.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.83 | 2.26 | +23.3% | +5.3% | +5.5% | -2.4% | -0.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.96 | 2.54 | +29.8% | +5.0% | +6.3% | -0.8% | -10.8% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 1.68 | 1.57 | -6.2% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +5.1% | +0.2% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 2.09 | 13.01 | +523.0% | -1.8% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -2.3% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.98 | 2.35 | +18.8% | +8.5% | +2.9% | -13.0% | -8.0% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 1.60 | 1.18 | -26.3% | -2.8% | +3.9% | -8.3% | -6.9% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +4.2% | -3.7% | -2.7% | -8.8% | -2.4% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 1.49 | 1.32 | -11.7% | -3.0% | +4.4% | -1.2% | -6.9% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.24 | 1.54 | +24.1% | +0.0% | -2.9% | +6.0% | +15.0% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.48 | 1.34 | +181.6% | +4.0% | +3.5% | +2.6% | -0.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.62 | 1.09 | +76.3% | +2.5% | +12.3% | +0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.08 | 1.69 | +1896.2% | +10.0% | +12.7% | +4.9% | -11.4% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +23.3% | -3.2% | +9.3% | +7.7% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.