VFC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.5% | -3.6% | 9.7% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +0.1% | 4.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 4.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -2.0% | 10.0% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | -0.22 | -0.27 | -21.0% | -12.1% | -17.4% | +0.9% | -9.5% |
| 2026-05-20 beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -2.6% | -3.2% | +10.6% | +5.1% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.56 | +26.4% | -11.1% | -5.8% | +10.8% | +1.6% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.52 | +22.4% | +0.2% | -12.2% | -5.6% | +18.4% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | -0.34 | -0.24 | +29.1% | +21.0% | +2.6% | -3.6% | +17.1% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +7.2% | -15.0% | -15.8% | +5.8% | -5.5% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.34 | 0.62 | +81.8% | +4.3% | -3.9% | -2.7% | -2.5% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.60 | +60.4% | +19.3% | +27.0% | -1.2% | -5.9% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | -0.37 | -0.33 | +10.8% | +9.5% | +7.1% | -4.4% | +0.5% |
| 2024-05-22 miss | 0.01 | -0.32 | -2825.7% | -6.9% | -2.9% | +10.9% | +18.0% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 0.78 | 0.57 | -27.1% | -9.8% | -9.7% | +12.3% | +5.2% |
| 2023-10-30 miss | 0.65 | 0.63 | -2.6% | -6.0% | -14.0% | +8.6% | +13.6% |
| 2023-08-01 miss | -0.12 | -0.15 | -25.4% | -2.9% | -1.8% | +1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2023-05-23 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +20.7% | +1.8% | -3.3% | -7.2% | +0.5% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 0.99 | 1.12 | +13.3% | -3.9% | -0.3% | -2.1% | -23.4% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -2.3% | -1.8% | -2.8% | -1.1% | +18.2% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -33.3% | -2.2% | -8.0% | +2.2% | -7.3% |
| 2022-05-19 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -3.8% | +7.6% | +6.1% | +6.0% | -3.3% |
| 2022-01-28 beat | 1.22 | 1.35 | +11.1% | -3.2% | -6.5% | +0.3% | -11.8% |
| 2021-10-22 miss | 1.16 | 1.11 | -4.0% | -3.8% | -4.5% | +3.0% | +7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.