VFC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.1% | -2.4% | 7.1% | 33% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 3.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 2.6% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -0.7% | 7.2% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | -0.22 | -0.27 | -21.0% | -12.1% | -17.4% | +0.9% | -9.5% |
| 2026-05-20 beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -2.6% | -3.2% | +10.6% | +5.1% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.56 | +26.4% | -11.1% | -5.8% | +10.8% | +1.6% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.52 | +22.4% | +0.2% | -12.2% | -5.6% | +18.4% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | -0.34 | -0.24 | +29.1% | +21.0% | +2.6% | -3.6% | +17.1% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +7.2% | -15.0% | -15.8% | +5.8% | -5.5% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.34 | 0.62 | +81.8% | +4.3% | -3.9% | -2.7% | -2.5% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.60 | +60.4% | +19.3% | +27.0% | -1.2% | -5.9% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | -0.37 | -0.33 | +10.8% | +9.5% | +7.1% | -4.4% | +0.5% |
| 2024-05-22 miss | 0.01 | -0.32 | -2825.7% | -6.9% | -2.9% | +10.9% | +18.0% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 0.78 | 0.57 | -27.1% | -9.8% | -9.7% | +12.3% | +5.2% |
| 2023-10-30 miss | 0.65 | 0.63 | -2.6% | -6.0% | -14.0% | +8.6% | +13.6% |
| 2023-08-01 miss | -0.12 | -0.15 | -25.4% | -2.9% | -1.8% | +1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2023-05-23 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +20.7% | +1.8% | -3.3% | -7.2% | +0.5% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 0.99 | 1.12 | +13.3% | -3.9% | -0.3% | -2.1% | -23.4% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -2.3% | -1.8% | -2.8% | -1.1% | +18.2% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -33.3% | -2.2% | -8.0% | +2.2% | -7.3% |
| 2022-05-19 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -3.8% | +7.6% | +6.1% | +6.0% | -3.3% |
| 2022-01-28 beat | 1.22 | 1.35 | +11.1% | -3.2% | -6.5% | +0.3% | -11.8% |
| 2021-10-22 miss | 1.16 | 1.11 | -4.0% | -3.8% | -4.5% | +3.0% | +7.8% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 0.11 | 0.20 | +83.0% | -1.3% | -5.1% | +0.5% | -4.0% |
| 2021-05-21 miss | 0.29 | 0.21 | -27.0% | -5.4% | -8.9% | +3.2% | +5.1% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 0.90 | 0.93 | +3.3% | -1.6% | -7.0% | -0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-10-16 beat | 0.48 | 0.67 | +39.4% | +0.3% | -2.5% | -1.3% | +8.5% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | -0.67 | -0.57 | +14.5% | -2.3% | -0.2% | +1.5% | +8.9% |
| 2020-05-15 miss | 0.14 | 0.10 | -26.7% | -4.6% | -6.3% | +7.1% | +27.0% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 1.21 | 1.23 | +1.4% | -7.2% | -9.7% | -1.0% | -4.2% |
| 2019-10-25 miss | 1.30 | 1.26 | -3.4% | -6.5% | -7.3% | -1.5% | +2.9% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +3.9% | +2.3% | +1.2% | -2.2% | -9.3% |
| 2019-05-22 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +2.5% | -6.9% | -1.9% | -2.7% | +3.9% |
| 2019-01-18 beat | 1.10 | 1.31 | +19.2% | +12.2% | +12.4% | +1.7% | +4.9% |
| 2018-10-19 beat | 1.33 | 1.43 | +7.3% | -3.6% | -10.7% | +2.0% | +2.9% |
| 2018-07-20 beat | 0.33 | 0.43 | +31.1% | +3.1% | +4.1% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2018-05-04 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.9% | -0.6% | -2.8% | +2.2% | +9.2% |
| 2018-02-16 miss | 1.02 | 1.01 | -1.0% | -13.6% | -11.1% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
| 2017-10-23 beat | 1.12 | 1.23 | +10.0% | +2.5% | +5.4% | -0.1% | +3.8% |
| 2017-07-24 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +1.9% | +1.5% | +0.4% | +5.6% | +7.2% |
| 2017-04-28 miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -5.3% | -3.6% | -5.6% | -0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2017-02-17 beat | 0.97 | 0.97 | +0.3% | +1.8% | +4.6% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2016-10-24 beat | 1.15 | 1.20 | +4.3% | -0.4% | -2.9% | +2.1% | +9.4% |
| 2016-07-22 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.6% | +0.2% | -1.3% | +0.1% | +3.4% |
| 2016-04-29 beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +4.8% | +2.0% | +0.6% | +1.4% | -1.2% |
| 2016-02-19 miss | 1.01 | 0.95 | -5.8% | -5.3% | -4.4% | +10.8% | +13.6% |
| 2015-10-23 miss | 1.12 | 1.07 | -4.2% | -6.6% | -12.9% | +5.9% | +2.4% |
| 2015-07-24 beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.0% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +3.5% | -6.8% |
| 2015-05-01 miss | 0.67 | 0.67 | -0.3% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -2.0% |
| 2015-02-13 miss | 0.98 | 0.98 | -0.3% | +2.6% | +6.0% | +1.2% | -2.9% |
| 2014-10-20 miss | 1.09 | 1.08 | -1.4% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +4.7% | +13.2% |
| 2014-07-18 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.9% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2014-04-25 beat | 0.63 | 0.67 | +5.9% | +0.6% | +2.2% | -0.5% | +2.4% |
| 2014-02-14 miss | 0.84 | 0.82 | -2.6% | -6.1% | -5.1% | +3.5% | +9.3% |
| 2013-10-21 beat | 0.95 | 0.98 | +3.4% | +4.2% | +3.4% | +2.5% | +6.2% |
| 2013-07-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +8.2% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +1.1% | -3.1% |
| 2013-04-26 beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +10.9% | -0.7% | -2.2% | +1.6% | +5.7% |
| 2013-02-15 beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.1% | +0.9% | +3.3% | -0.2% | +4.9% |
| 2012-10-22 beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +0.7% | -3.3% | -4.4% | -1.9% | -0.6% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +16.9% | +2.7% | +7.5% | -2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2012-04-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +3.6% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -3.6% | -6.9% |
| 2012-02-16 beat | 0.58 | 0.58 | +0.7% | +0.3% | +3.3% | -1.0% | +0.0% |
| 2011-10-24 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +11.3% | +4.0% | +3.2% | +0.9% | -6.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.