VLO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 2.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.7% | 1.7% | 65% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.1% | 6.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 10.13 | 12.54 | +23.8% | -1.6% | +3.4% | -2.8% | +13.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 3.16 | 4.22 | +33.5% | -2.2% | +0.5% | -6.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 3.27 | 3.82 | +16.9% | +4.2% | -0.8% | +6.4% | +17.8% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 3.05 | 3.66 | +19.9% | +1.2% | +7.0% | -1.8% | +0.2% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.77 | 2.28 | +29.1% | -2.0% | -4.9% | -2.2% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.89 | +117.3% | +1.3% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +13.4% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.06 | 0.64 | +970.8% | +3.2% | -2.9% | -0.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.98 | 1.14 | +16.1% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +7.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.60 | 2.71 | +4.4% | -1.1% | +5.5% | -0.4% | -7.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 3.22 | 3.82 | +18.6% | -1.2% | +0.1% | -5.9% | -2.8% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 3.00 | 3.55 | +18.2% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +2.8% | +7.9% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 7.32 | 7.49 | +2.3% | -0.7% | -1.2% | +2.9% | +0.2% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 5.08 | 5.40 | +6.3% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +6.1% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 7.21 | 8.27 | +14.7% | -1.5% | -1.7% | -9.0% | -0.7% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 7.24 | 8.45 | +16.7% | +1.3% | +4.6% | -11.3% | -9.9% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 6.94 | 7.14 | +2.9% | -1.3% | -1.9% | +2.5% | +9.8% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 9.38 | 11.36 | +21.1% | +3.1% | -1.8% | -4.7% | +11.3% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.65 | 2.31 | +40.3% | +0.8% | +4.2% | +15.5% | +21.1% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.84 | 2.47 | +34.2% | +2.8% | +0.8% | +3.8% | +1.9% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.92 | 1.22 | +33.0% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -4.3% | -15.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.