VLO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | -0.4% | 3.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -1.1% | 4.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 10.13 | 12.54 | +23.8% | -1.6% | +3.4% | -2.8% | +13.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 3.16 | 4.22 | +33.5% | -2.2% | +0.5% | -6.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 3.27 | 3.82 | +16.9% | +4.2% | -0.8% | +6.4% | +17.8% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 3.05 | 3.66 | +19.9% | +1.2% | +7.0% | -1.8% | +0.2% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.77 | 2.28 | +29.1% | -2.0% | -4.9% | -2.2% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.89 | +117.3% | +1.3% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +13.4% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.06 | 0.64 | +970.8% | +3.2% | -2.9% | -0.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.98 | 1.14 | +16.1% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +7.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.60 | 2.71 | +4.4% | -1.1% | +5.5% | -0.4% | -7.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 3.22 | 3.82 | +18.6% | -1.2% | +0.1% | -5.9% | -2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.