VLO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +0.3% | 3.8% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 38% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.8% | 6.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 10.13 | 12.54 | +23.8% | -1.6% | +3.4% | -2.8% | +13.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 3.16 | 4.22 | +33.5% | -2.2% | +0.5% | -6.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 3.27 | 3.82 | +16.9% | +4.2% | -0.8% | +6.4% | +17.8% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 3.05 | 3.66 | +19.9% | +1.2% | +7.0% | -1.8% | +0.2% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.77 | 2.28 | +29.1% | -2.0% | -4.9% | -2.2% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.89 | +117.3% | +1.3% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +13.4% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.06 | 0.64 | +970.8% | +3.2% | -2.9% | -0.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.98 | 1.14 | +16.1% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +7.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.60 | 2.71 | +4.4% | -1.1% | +5.5% | -0.4% | -7.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 3.22 | 3.82 | +18.6% | -1.2% | +0.1% | -5.9% | -2.8% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 3.00 | 3.55 | +18.2% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +2.8% | +7.9% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 7.32 | 7.49 | +2.3% | -0.7% | -1.2% | +2.9% | +0.2% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 5.08 | 5.40 | +6.3% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +6.1% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 7.21 | 8.27 | +14.7% | -1.5% | -1.7% | -9.0% | -0.7% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 7.24 | 8.45 | +16.7% | +1.3% | +4.6% | -11.3% | -9.9% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 6.94 | 7.14 | +2.9% | -1.3% | -1.9% | +2.5% | +9.8% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 9.38 | 11.36 | +21.1% | +3.1% | -1.8% | -4.7% | +11.3% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.65 | 2.31 | +40.3% | +0.8% | +4.2% | +15.5% | +21.1% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.84 | 2.47 | +34.2% | +2.8% | +0.8% | +3.8% | +1.9% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.92 | 1.22 | +33.0% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -4.3% | -15.8% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.13 | 0.48 | +264.4% | +2.2% | +0.5% | -2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | -1.85 | -1.73 | +6.7% | +0.1% | -2.6% | +9.3% | +12.7% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | -1.39 | -1.06 | +23.6% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +4.7% | +33.4% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | -1.33 | -1.16 | +13.0% | -0.9% | +1.8% | -9.1% | +23.1% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -1.40 | -1.25 | +10.8% | -5.5% | -5.6% | -8.6% | -2.6% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | -0.15 | 0.34 | +320.2% | +5.7% | +14.5% | -8.1% | +0.5% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 1.63 | 2.13 | +30.3% | -0.6% | +2.0% | -5.6% | -23.0% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.35 | 1.48 | +9.6% | +1.5% | +3.3% | +0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 1.51 | 1.51 | -0.2% | +0.0% | -3.2% | +1.1% | -11.1% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.23 | 0.34 | +48.5% | +0.0% | +3.5% | -2.8% | -16.1% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 1.11 | 2.12 | +90.4% | +5.7% | +5.5% | -4.5% | -6.0% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 1.95 | 2.01 | +2.9% | +2.7% | +0.8% | +5.9% | -9.8% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.98 | 2.15 | +8.6% | +0.3% | +6.9% | -1.3% | +3.2% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.93 | 1.00 | +7.4% | +1.0% | +2.6% | +1.6% | +6.4% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 1.08 | 1.16 | +7.8% | +0.5% | -1.3% | -8.4% | -3.3% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 1.83 | 1.91 | +4.2% | -0.4% | -1.8% | +6.9% | +7.6% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 1.10 | 1.23 | +12.3% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.60 | 0.68 | +13.6% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -2.0% | -3.1% |
| 2017-01-31 beat | 0.77 | 0.81 | +5.2% | -0.6% | -3.6% | -0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 0.93 | 1.24 | +33.9% | +2.0% | +4.9% | +1.0% | +9.8% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.1% | +0.6% | +4.7% | -0.6% | +5.8% |
| 2016-05-03 miss | 0.65 | 0.60 | -7.5% | -3.0% | -3.7% | -2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 1.47 | 1.79 | +21.9% | +2.0% | -2.2% | -4.3% | -6.9% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | 2.66 | 2.79 | +4.9% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +12.1% | +15.0% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 2.41 | 2.66 | +10.3% | -1.8% | -2.7% | +2.3% | -8.1% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 1.67 | 1.87 | +12.2% | +0.7% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +0.4% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 1.32 | 1.83 | +38.2% | +2.7% | +1.1% | +5.6% | +12.7% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 1.55 | 2.00 | +28.9% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +1.5% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +2.4% | +8.2% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 1.40 | 1.54 | +9.8% | +0.9% | -1.9% | +2.9% | -0.4% |
| 2014-01-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.78 | +20.8% | -2.7% | +2.4% | -9.8% | -6.7% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 0.41 | 0.57 | +40.5% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +3.1% | +14.3% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.2% | -1.1% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 1.00 | 1.18 | +17.6% | +3.9% | -2.1% | +6.1% | +10.3% |
| 2013-01-29 beat | 1.15 | 1.88 | +63.6% | +8.7% | +12.8% | +4.4% | +4.2% |
| 2012-10-30 beat | 1.75 | 1.90 | +8.4% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% | +10.9% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 1.44 | 1.50 | +3.9% | +4.0% | +5.4% | +3.9% | +11.9% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +10.7% | +1.0% | +0.6% | -9.2% | -15.1% |
| 2012-01-31 beat | -0.25 | -0.21 | +16.2% | +0.8% | -1.2% | +5.4% | +7.1% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 1.78 | 2.11 | +18.6% | -2.4% | -1.5% | +8.7% | -8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.