VMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.8% | 4.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.5% | 1.8% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +0.5% | 6.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.47 | 2.59 | +4.9% | +3.5% | -1.6% | +1.0% | -3.5% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.10 | 1.35 | +22.3% | +4.0% | +1.6% | -0.1% | -4.4% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 2.11 | 1.70 | -19.5% | -9.7% | -7.8% | +5.2% | -14.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.72 | 2.84 | +4.5% | -3.2% | -1.7% | -1.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 2.52 | 2.45 | -2.8% | -2.5% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +6.0% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.76 | 1.00 | +31.6% | +3.1% | +6.9% | +1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.75 | 2.17 | +23.7% | +3.6% | +0.9% | -8.4% | -11.6% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 2.31 | 2.22 | -4.1% | +4.0% | +6.4% | +5.1% | +4.3% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 2.49 | 2.35 | -5.8% | -4.6% | -4.4% | -0.9% | -5.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +4.4% | +3.4% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -4.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.