VMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.8% | 4.2% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +1.6% | 7.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.47 | 2.59 | +4.9% | +3.5% | -1.6% | +1.0% | -3.5% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.10 | 1.35 | +22.3% | +4.0% | +1.6% | -0.1% | -4.4% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 2.11 | 1.70 | -19.5% | -9.7% | -7.8% | +5.2% | -14.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.72 | 2.84 | +4.5% | -3.2% | -1.7% | -1.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 2.52 | 2.45 | -2.8% | -2.5% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +6.0% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.76 | 1.00 | +31.6% | +3.1% | +6.9% | +1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.75 | 2.17 | +23.7% | +3.6% | +0.9% | -8.4% | -11.6% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 2.31 | 2.22 | -4.1% | +4.0% | +6.4% | +5.1% | +4.3% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 2.49 | 2.35 | -5.8% | -4.6% | -4.4% | -0.9% | -5.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +4.4% | +3.4% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -4.6% |
| 2024-02-16 beat | 1.40 | 1.46 | +4.3% | +5.9% | +5.2% | +2.3% | +5.4% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.23 | 2.29 | +2.7% | -2.1% | -4.6% | +6.6% | +9.7% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.92 | 2.29 | +19.6% | -1.6% | +1.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.95 | +53.5% | +9.1% | +6.5% | +2.4% | +6.3% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 1.26 | 1.08 | -14.5% | -6.9% | -5.2% | -0.9% | -11.9% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.71 | 1.78 | +3.8% | +1.3% | -1.1% | +3.7% | +13.2% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 1.65 | 1.53 | -7.4% | -1.1% | +2.5% | +3.0% | -3.2% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.63 | 0.73 | +15.8% | -0.9% | +4.8% | -14.7% | -10.5% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 1.17 | 1.25 | +6.7% | -0.4% | +1.4% | -7.6% | -4.3% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 1.65 | 1.54 | -6.4% | -1.1% | -0.5% | +2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2021-08-04 miss | 1.65 | 1.57 | -5.0% | -5.4% | -0.7% | +7.7% | +1.9% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.46 | 0.69 | +51.6% | +0.8% | +5.3% | +1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2021-02-16 beat | 0.98 | 1.07 | +8.9% | -2.2% | -1.2% | +2.2% | +3.8% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 1.61 | 1.56 | -3.4% | -2.5% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +6.3% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 1.39 | 1.60 | +15.1% | +0.5% | +5.8% | +7.2% | +0.9% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.3% | +2.6% | -7.2% | -7.2% | +23.7% |
| 2020-02-18 miss | 1.17 | 1.08 | -7.7% | -2.9% | -6.7% | -9.0% | -44.1% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | 1.72 | 1.68 | -2.2% | -5.3% | -2.1% | +0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 1.48 | 1.48 | -0.0% | +1.5% | -2.2% | +1.7% | +3.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.37 | 0.46 | +25.4% | +3.8% | +4.4% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.