VMI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +6.9% | +8.4% | 8.3% | 80% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.8% | 2.4% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.4% | 2.3% | 60% |
| 5-day | +7.7% | +8.1% | 9.6% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 5.80 | 6.14 | +5.9% | +3.6% | -3.9% | -4.9% | -4.2% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 4.73 | 5.51 | +16.5% | +7.4% | +11.9% | +8.4% | +9.7% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 4.97 | 4.92 | -0.9% | -5.1% | -6.6% | +4.3% | -9.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 4.62 | 4.98 | +7.8% | +2.2% | +1.4% | +0.7% | -5.6% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 4.78 | 4.88 | +2.1% | +2.7% | +6.5% | +2.7% | +3.0% |
| 2025-04-22 miss | 4.36 | 4.32 | -0.8% | +1.0% | +3.2% | +6.2% | +12.7% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 3.63 | 3.84 | +5.9% | +6.1% | +17.5% | -7.8% | -12.3% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 4.00 | 4.11 | +2.8% | +1.3% | +10.4% | -3.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 4.17 | 4.76 | +14.2% | +3.6% | +10.6% | -2.5% | -3.6% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 3.31 | 4.32 | +30.5% | +8.5% | +17.8% | +4.5% | +2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.