VMI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +1.3% | 7.9% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.3% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +2.5% | 9.5% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 5.80 | 6.14 | +5.9% | +3.6% | -3.9% | -4.9% | -4.2% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 4.73 | 5.51 | +16.5% | +7.4% | +11.9% | +8.4% | +9.7% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 4.97 | 4.92 | -0.9% | -5.1% | -6.6% | +4.3% | -9.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 4.62 | 4.98 | +7.8% | +2.2% | +1.4% | +0.7% | -5.6% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 4.78 | 4.88 | +2.1% | +2.7% | +6.5% | +2.7% | +3.0% |
| 2025-04-22 miss | 4.36 | 4.32 | -0.8% | +1.0% | +3.2% | +6.2% | +12.7% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 3.63 | 3.84 | +5.9% | +6.1% | +17.5% | -7.8% | -12.3% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 4.00 | 4.11 | +2.8% | +1.3% | +10.4% | -3.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 4.17 | 4.76 | +14.2% | +3.6% | +10.6% | -2.5% | -3.6% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 3.31 | 4.32 | +30.5% | +8.5% | +17.8% | +4.5% | +2.1% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 3.05 | 3.18 | +4.4% | -4.6% | -3.5% | -3.3% | +0.6% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 3.73 | 4.12 | +10.6% | -5.9% | -13.9% | +0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 4.11 | 4.37 | +6.4% | -2.4% | -7.7% | -2.4% | -5.1% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 3.38 | 3.61 | +6.9% | +3.3% | +0.9% | -4.6% | -6.6% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 3.57 | 3.57 | -0.1% | -0.9% | -6.4% | +9.3% | +3.1% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 3.41 | 3.49 | +2.5% | +0.4% | +2.8% | +0.8% | +6.6% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 3.34 | 3.70 | +10.7% | -0.7% | +6.1% | +6.8% | +13.7% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 2.44 | 3.07 | +26.0% | +7.1% | +6.6% | -4.6% | -6.3% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 2.65 | 2.73 | +2.9% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -1.3% | +10.9% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 2.47 | 2.57 | +4.0% | -1.5% | -5.7% | +0.4% | +10.4% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 2.50 | 3.06 | +22.6% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +2.9% | +3.7% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 2.12 | 2.57 | +21.4% | -1.2% | -2.4% | +6.1% | +5.0% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 1.79 | 2.20 | +22.8% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +5.7% | +6.9% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 1.72 | 1.99 | +15.8% | +0.4% | +5.6% | -3.4% | +9.2% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 1.44 | 2.00 | +39.3% | +3.1% | +5.5% | -2.5% | +0.1% |
| 2020-04-22 beat | 1.39 | 1.99 | +43.4% | +10.0% | +10.3% | +0.7% | -9.2% |
| 2020-02-19 miss | 1.84 | 1.66 | -9.6% | -8.7% | -12.7% | -12.2% | -31.8% |
| 2019-10-23 miss | 2.30 | 1.85 | -19.7% | -3.9% | -4.1% | +3.3% | +5.5% |
| 2019-07-23 miss | 2.25 | 1.90 | -15.4% | -0.4% | +5.6% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2019-04-23 miss | 1.74 | 1.66 | -4.7% | +0.2% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -11.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.