VRSK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +2.1% | 6.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.4% | 1.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.2% | -2.1% | 8.5% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.93 | 1.98 | +2.4% | +2.3% | +0.4% | -11.4% | -10.4% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.74 | 1.82 | +4.7% | +5.0% | +6.5% | -9.2% | -7.0% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 1.61 | 1.82 | +12.9% | +9.7% | +3.8% | +6.4% | +9.6% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.0% | -10.2% | -10.4% | +2.9% | +8.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.77 | 1.88 | +6.1% | +0.6% | -6.3% | -3.8% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.68 | 1.73 | +2.8% | +2.2% | +4.6% | -2.8% | +3.1% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.60 | 1.61 | +0.8% | -11.9% | -3.9% | +3.1% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.60 | 1.67 | +4.2% | +6.2% | +4.5% | +1.3% | +6.7% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.64 | 1.74 | +6.0% | -3.8% | -8.5% | -0.6% | +3.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.52 | 1.63 | +7.5% | +3.2% | +6.8% | +5.1% | +8.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.