VRSK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.9% | 5.0% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.8% | 2.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -0.7% | 7.1% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.93 | 1.98 | +2.4% | +2.3% | +0.4% | -11.4% | -10.4% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.74 | 1.82 | +4.7% | +5.0% | +6.5% | -9.2% | -7.0% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 1.61 | 1.82 | +12.9% | +9.7% | +3.8% | +6.4% | +9.6% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.0% | -10.2% | -10.4% | +2.9% | +8.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.77 | 1.88 | +6.1% | +0.6% | -6.3% | -3.8% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.68 | 1.73 | +2.8% | +2.2% | +4.6% | -2.8% | +3.1% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.60 | 1.61 | +0.8% | -11.9% | -3.9% | +3.1% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.60 | 1.67 | +4.2% | +6.2% | +4.5% | +1.3% | +6.7% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.64 | 1.74 | +6.0% | -3.8% | -8.5% | -0.6% | +3.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.52 | 1.63 | +7.5% | +3.2% | +6.8% | +5.1% | +8.6% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 1.44 | 1.40 | -2.7% | -1.6% | -4.4% | +1.8% | -0.7% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.47 | 1.52 | +3.5% | -2.6% | -2.2% | +6.2% | +9.2% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.41 | 1.51 | +7.1% | -1.2% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +4.2% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 1.19 | 1.29 | +8.4% | +5.8% | +7.9% | +5.1% | +8.5% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.43 | +22.4% | +4.5% | +3.3% | +4.6% | +8.1% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 1.47 | 1.46 | -0.5% | -4.9% | -6.7% | +0.3% | +9.5% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.41 | 1.53 | +8.5% | +2.0% | +4.4% | +2.4% | -4.3% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 1.38 | 1.34 | -3.1% | -7.1% | -3.3% | -9.9% | -10.3% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 1.41 | 1.47 | +4.5% | -2.0% | -4.7% | +2.3% | +17.2% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.36 | 1.44 | +5.8% | -1.3% | +2.4% | -0.2% | +3.4% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | 1.33 | 1.17 | -11.9% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +1.5% | +9.1% |
| 2021-05-04 miss | 1.25 | 1.23 | -1.7% | -3.1% | -8.4% | -0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-02-23 miss | 1.30 | 1.27 | -2.4% | -5.0% | -9.6% | -1.6% | +4.3% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 1.20 | 1.32 | +10.3% | +2.0% | -1.0% | +2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 1.19 | 1.29 | +8.4% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +0.3% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 1.13 | 1.17 | +3.5% | +1.6% | -1.5% | -0.5% | +7.1% |
| 2020-02-18 beat | 1.12 | 1.13 | +0.8% | -3.5% | -1.1% | -3.7% | -19.6% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 1.13 | 1.12 | -1.1% | -2.6% | -1.5% | -4.8% | -0.3% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 1.10 | 1.10 | -0.2% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +1.4% | +6.0% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | 1.03 | 1.03 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.