W chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.5% | +1.4% | 15.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +1.3% | 6.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -1.4% | -1.2% | 5.9% | 30% |
| 5-day | +2.5% | +0.3% | 20.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.92 | 0.95 | +3.1% | +23.1% | +30.0% | -11.1% | -18.6% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -6.8% | -5.4% | -12.7% | +3.6% | +13.6% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.69 | 0.85 | +23.9% | -16.0% | -13.0% | -0.8% | -9.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.70 | +59.3% | +13.9% | +23.2% | -6.7% | +5.7% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.33 | 0.87 | +160.5% | +12.5% | +12.7% | -2.3% | +8.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.20 | 0.10 | +150.9% | +7.4% | +3.5% | +7.7% | +33.1% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | -0.01 | -0.25 | -2641.2% | +6.2% | -0.6% | -14.2% | -26.9% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 0.13 | 0.22 | +72.5% | -1.3% | -6.3% | -3.2% | +21.5% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -1.0% | -8.4% | -8.1% | -17.8% | -14.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.40 | -0.32 | +20.3% | +18.7% | +16.0% | +24.4% | -1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.