W chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.8% | 14.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | -0.6% | 5.6% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.1% | 5.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.2% | 18.6% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.92 | 0.95 | +3.1% | +23.1% | +30.0% | -11.1% | -18.6% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -6.8% | -5.4% | -12.7% | +3.6% | +13.6% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.69 | 0.85 | +23.9% | -16.0% | -13.0% | -0.8% | -9.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.70 | +59.3% | +13.9% | +23.2% | -6.7% | +5.7% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.33 | 0.87 | +160.5% | +12.5% | +12.7% | -2.3% | +8.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.20 | 0.10 | +150.9% | +7.4% | +3.5% | +7.7% | +33.1% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | -0.01 | -0.25 | -2641.2% | +6.2% | -0.6% | -14.2% | -26.9% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 0.13 | 0.22 | +72.5% | -1.3% | -6.3% | -3.2% | +21.5% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -1.0% | -8.4% | -8.1% | -17.8% | -14.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.40 | -0.32 | +20.3% | +18.7% | +16.0% | +24.4% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +27.6% | +7.1% | +10.8% | +10.3% | +17.2% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -0.47 | -0.13 | +72.1% | -4.0% | +4.2% | +4.8% | +31.9% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.72 | 0.21 | +129.3% | +13.1% | +16.2% | -14.0% | -14.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -1.71 | -1.13 | +34.0% | +12.2% | +15.8% | +0.6% | +27.7% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -1.66 | -1.71 | -3.0% | -8.4% | -23.0% | +1.4% | -10.7% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -2.16 | -2.11 | +2.5% | -1.5% | +5.2% | -1.8% | +2.9% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | -1.90 | -1.94 | -2.2% | -6.1% | -2.4% | +2.6% | -21.0% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | -1.53 | -1.96 | -27.7% | -15.1% | -25.7% | -17.3% | -15.7% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.70 | -0.92 | -31.7% | -16.9% | +4.7% | -2.4% | -9.7% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.01 | 0.14 | +1169.3% | -7.0% | -5.0% | -4.5% | -13.4% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 1.16 | 1.89 | +62.6% | +1.6% | +10.0% | +14.6% | -0.9% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.29 | 1.00 | +240.9% | +6.3% | +5.6% | +3.2% | +14.6% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.88 | 1.24 | +40.4% | +3.1% | +0.0% | +11.2% | +33.2% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 0.84 | 2.30 | +174.3% | +2.2% | +7.2% | -11.5% | -12.5% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 1.11 | 3.13 | +183.3% | -2.4% | +3.6% | +0.1% | -8.5% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | -2.60 | -2.30 | +11.6% | +30.5% | +23.7% | +10.7% | +7.0% |
| 2020-02-28 miss | -2.62 | -2.80 | -7.0% | -24.2% | -10.1% | -7.2% | -17.7% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | -2.06 | -2.23 | -8.2% | -15.6% | -18.6% | +1.9% | +0.9% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | -1.37 | -1.35 | +1.1% | -1.5% | -1.2% | -3.4% | -13.0% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | -1.61 | -1.62 | -0.9% | -9.7% | -7.1% | -2.7% | -6.9% |
| 2019-02-22 beat | -1.30 | -1.12 | +13.9% | +20.7% | +27.9% | +13.3% | +7.7% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | -1.09 | -1.28 | -17.4% | -12.7% | -12.8% | +2.0% | +16.8% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | -0.73 | -0.77 | -5.6% | +8.4% | +7.5% | +3.8% | +17.2% |
| 2018-05-02 miss | -0.89 | -0.91 | -1.7% | +10.2% | +13.7% | +12.4% | +28.2% |
| 2018-02-22 miss | -0.52 | -0.58 | -11.3% | -14.9% | -22.7% | +7.2% | -8.6% |
| 2017-11-02 miss | -0.45 | -0.65 | -43.5% | -20.4% | -15.5% | -7.7% | +14.4% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | -0.46 | -0.26 | +43.7% | -0.7% | -6.3% | -6.2% | -2.3% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | -0.57 | -0.48 | +15.7% | +12.2% | +20.7% | -0.7% | +18.5% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | -0.50 | -0.34 | +32.2% | -8.0% | -6.5% | -3.5% | -0.5% |
| 2016-11-08 beat | -0.59 | -0.54 | +8.0% | -13.0% | -4.1% | +14.1% | +19.6% |
| 2016-08-09 miss | -0.40 | -0.43 | -7.3% | -12.8% | -19.6% | -1.9% | +6.7% |
| 2016-05-09 miss | -0.34 | -0.36 | -6.0% | +3.8% | +10.2% | -2.1% | +8.3% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | -0.15 | -0.07 | +54.2% | +3.1% | +10.6% | +1.5% | -8.9% |
| 2015-11-10 beat | -0.24 | -0.13 | +46.1% | +0.3% | -14.0% | -9.2% | +19.7% |
| 2015-08-12 beat | -0.29 | -0.15 | +47.6% | +16.8% | +28.2% | -10.3% | -32.5% |
| 2015-05-11 beat | -0.25 | -0.23 | +9.3% | +7.0% | -2.5% | -5.6% | +13.5% |
| 2015-03-04 beat | -0.28 | -0.18 | +35.1% | +20.8% | +14.5% | -1.1% | +6.6% |
| 2014-11-10 beat | -0.37 | -0.29 | +20.9% | -3.9% | -15.8% | -6.7% | -18.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.