WMT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.9% | 6.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 1.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.4% | 1.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -1.3% | 8.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.3% | -6.9% | -9.2% | -1.2% | — |
| 2026-05-21 beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.2% | -4.9% | -7.3% | -4.6% | -1.6% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.8% | +1.5% | -1.4% | -0.4% | -4.7% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.1% | +3.3% | +6.5% | +3.2% | +5.1% |
| 2025-08-21 miss | 0.74 | 0.68 | -8.0% | -3.1% | -4.5% | -1.9% | +5.0% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +5.6% | -2.6% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +2.0% | -5.0% | -6.5% | -0.4% | -11.6% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +8.8% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +5.4% | +7.9% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.8% | +8.0% | +6.6% | +3.3% | +10.1% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +14.4% | +7.3% | +7.0% | +1.3% | +5.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.