WMT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 5.1% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.5% | 1.6% | 33% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -1.1% | 6.7% | 37% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.3% | -6.9% | -9.2% | -1.2% | — |
| 2026-05-21 beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.2% | -4.9% | -7.3% | -4.6% | -1.6% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.8% | +1.5% | -1.4% | -0.4% | -4.7% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.1% | +3.3% | +6.5% | +3.2% | +5.1% |
| 2025-08-21 miss | 0.74 | 0.68 | -8.0% | -3.1% | -4.5% | -1.9% | +5.0% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +5.6% | -2.6% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +2.0% | -5.0% | -6.5% | -0.4% | -11.6% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +8.8% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +5.4% | +7.9% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.8% | +8.0% | +6.6% | +3.3% | +10.1% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +14.4% | +7.3% | +7.0% | +1.3% | +5.3% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.55 | 0.60 | +9.3% | +4.8% | +3.2% | +1.7% | +4.5% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.4% | -6.5% | -8.1% | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2023-08-17 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +7.9% | +1.0% | -2.2% | +0.8% | +5.0% |
| 2023-05-18 beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +11.6% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -3.5% | +1.8% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +12.9% | -2.4% | +0.6% | -3.5% | -5.3% |
| 2022-11-15 beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +13.9% | +5.2% | +6.5% | +2.9% | -1.4% |
| 2022-08-16 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +10.0% | +4.8% | +5.1% | -3.9% | -4.2% |
| 2022-05-17 miss | 0.49 | 0.43 | -12.1% | -7.9% | -11.4% | -5.5% | -8.2% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.2% | +0.4% | +4.0% | -1.8% | +3.9% |
| 2021-11-16 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.0% | -1.2% | -2.5% | +1.8% | +0.1% |
| 2021-08-17 beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +13.2% | -0.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -3.8% |
| 2021-05-18 beat | 0.40 | 0.56 | +40.1% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +0.3% | -3.0% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 0.50 | 0.46 | -8.0% | -5.6% | -6.5% | -4.1% | -4.3% |
| 2020-11-17 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +12.8% | -1.3% | -2.0% | +1.3% | -2.2% |
| 2020-08-18 beat | 0.42 | 0.52 | +24.1% | +0.4% | -0.7% | -3.0% | +1.5% |
| 2020-05-19 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.5% | +3.2% | -2.1% | -2.0% | -5.6% |
| 2020-02-18 miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -3.8% | +0.5% | +1.5% | -4.4% | +2.5% |
| 2019-11-14 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +6.4% | +3.0% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2019-08-15 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +4.3% | +6.0% | +6.1% | -0.7% | +2.6% |
| 2019-05-16 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +10.8% | +3.0% | +1.4% | +0.5% | +7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.