WW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +9.0% | +11.9% | 8.0% | 93% |
| Day 2 | +7.6% | +9.3% | 5.2% | 89% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +2.4% | 3.8% | 86% |
| 5-day | +35.9% | +46.5% | 23.2% | 82% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.89 | 1.55 | +74.4% | +7.1% | +9.5% | -14.4% | +6.8% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | -2.05 | -5.07 | -147.4% | -8.5% | -22.3% | +20.2% | +87.5% |
| 2026-03-16 beat | -0.85 | -0.49 | +42.4% | +8.6% | +0.6% | -15.3% | -49.0% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.51 | -4.80 | -1041.0% | +4.2% | +3.5% | -19.4% | -29.1% |
| 2025-08-11 beat | -0.02 | 0.69 | +2845.2% | +7.2% | -12.3% | -8.3% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | -0.23 | -0.91 | -295.6% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.07 | 0.32 | +391.2% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.08 | 0.24 | +189.8% | — | — | — | — |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.02 | 0.32 | +1582.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.47 | -1.06 | -126.5% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | -0.09 | -0.77 | -713.7% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.14 | 0.06 | -57.5% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.10 | 0.74 | +636.9% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.38 | -1.36 | -254.8% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2023-03-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +28.1% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +7.9% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -8.5% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.28 | -0.12 | +59.3% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | 0.35 | 0.45 | +27.4% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.6% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2021-08-10 miss | 0.67 | 0.56 | -16.8% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | -0.21 | -0.21 | +1.6% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +18.3% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +11.5% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2020-08-04 miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -5.0% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | -0.24 | -0.04 | +83.2% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2020-02-25 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +11.0% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.6% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 0.65 | 0.78 | +20.3% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
| 2019-05-03 beat | -0.15 | -0.09 | +39.9% | +3.4% | +11.9% | +31.0% | +39.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.